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Accurate traffic forecasting is a core technology for building Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), enabling better urban resource allocation and improved travel experiences. With growing urbanization, traffic congestion has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Chenyang Yu , Xinpeng Xie , Yan Huang , Chenxi Qiu

Knowledge discovered from telecom data can facilitate proactive understanding of network dynamics and user behaviors, which in turn empowers service providers to optimize cellular traffic scheduling and resource allocation. Nevertheless,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Ningning Fu , Shengheng Liu , Weiliang Xie , Yongming Huang

We investigate the accuracy of conventional machine learning aided algorithms for the prediction of lateral land movement in an area using the precise position time series of permanent GNSS stations. The machine learning algorithms that are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 M. Kiani

Real-time network traffic forecasting is crucial for network management and early resource allocation. Existing network traffic forecasting approaches operate under the assumption that the network traffic data is fully observed. However, in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Lei Deng , Wenhan Xu , Jingwei Li , Danny H. K. Tsang

We propose a degree-based coarse graining approach that not just accelerates the evaluation of dynamics on complex networks, but also satisfies the consistency conditions for both equilibrium statistical distributions and nonequilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-08-06 Hanshuang Chen , Zhonghuai Hou , Houwen Xin , YiJing Yan

Accurate prediction of network-wide traffic conditions is essential for intelligent transportation systems. In the last decade, machine learning techniques have been widely used for this task, resulting in state-of-the-art performance. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Lei Lin , Weizi Li , Lei Zhu

This paper presents an effective framework for estimating time of arrival of vehicles (buses) in an Intelligent Transit Management System (ITMS) having sparse position updates. Our contributions towards this is firstly in implementing a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-22 Shivika Sharma , Nandini Mawane , Dhruthick Gowda M , Mayur Taware , Chetan Kumar , Yash Chandrashekhar Dixit , Rakshit Ramesh

State-space models effectively model multivariate time series by updating over time a representation of the system state from which predictions are made. The state representation is usually a vector without any explicit structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniele Zambon , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Traffic prediction is essential for the progression of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) and the vision of smart cities. While Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have shown promise in this domain by leveraging Graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Wenying Duan , Hong Rao , Wei Huang , Xiaoxi He

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Yinjun Wu , Jingchao Ni , Wei Cheng , Bo Zong , Dongjin Song , Zhengzhang Chen , Yanchi Liu , Xuchao Zhang , Haifeng Chen , Susan Davidson

Time-evolving traffic flow forecasting are playing a vital role in intelligent transportation systems and smart cities. However, the dynamic traffic flow forecasting is a highly nonlinear problem with complex temporal-spatial dependencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhenan Lin , Yuni Lai , Wai Lun Lo , Richard Tai-Chiu Hsung , Harris Sik-Ho Tsang , Xiaoyu Xue , Kai Zhou , Yulin Zhu

Notably, current intelligent transportation systems rely heavily on accurate traffic forecasting and swift inference provision to make timely decisions. While Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have shown benefits in modeling complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhaoyan Wang , Xiangchi Song , In-Young Ko

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

Traffic prediction is a critical task in spatial-temporal forecasting with broad applications in travel planning and urban management. To model the complex spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data, Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Kaiqi Wu , Weiyang Kong , Sen Zhang , Zitong Chen , Yubao Liu

Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-21 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A Alvarez , Neil D Lawrence

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

Accurate prediction of flight-level passenger traffic is of paramount importance in airline operations, influencing key decisions from pricing to route optimization. This study introduces a novel, multimodal deep learning approach to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Sina Ehsani , Elina Sergeeva , Wendy Murdy , Benjamin Fox

How to build an effective large-scale traffic state prediction system is a challenging but highly valuable problem. This study focuses on the construction of an effective solution designed for spatio-temporal data to predict large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Yang Liu , Fanyou Wu , Baosheng Yu , Zhiyuan Liu , Jieping Ye

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao