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We study the problem of estimating a sequence of evolving probability distributions from historical data, where the underlying distribution changes over time in a nonstationary and nonparametric manner. To capture gradual changes, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Edward J. Anderson , Dominic S. T. Keehan

Multivariate time series can often have a large number of dimensions, whether it is due to the vast amount of collected features or due to how the data sources are processed. Frequently, the main structure of the high-dimensional time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Euan Thomas McGonigle , Hankui Peng

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

We consider the problem of detecting distributional changes in a sequence of high dimensional data. Our approach combines two separate statistics stemming from $L_p$ norms whose behavior is similar under $H_0$ but potentially different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-15 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Peter Jacobs

Identifying change points (CPs) in a time series is crucial to guide better decision making across various fields like finance and healthcare and facilitating timely responses to potential risks or opportunities. Existing Change Point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Kopal Garg , Jennifer Yu , Tina Behrouzi , Sana Tonekaboni , Anna Goldenberg

Finding meaningful distances between high-dimensional data samples is an important scientific task. To this end, we propose a new tree-Wasserstein distance (TWD) for high-dimensional data with two key aspects. First, our TWD is specifically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ya-Wei Eileen Lin , Ronald R. Coifman , Gal Mishne , Ronen Talmon

The demand of artificial intelligent adoption for condition-based maintenance strategy is astonishingly increased over the past few years. Intelligent fault diagnosis is one critical topic of maintenance solution for mechanical systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Cheng Cheng , Beitong Zhou , Guijun Ma , Dongrui Wu , Ye Yuan

Change-point analysis has been successfully applied to the detect changes in multivariate data streams over time. In many applications, when data are observed over a graph/network, change does not occur simultaneously but instead spread…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hanqing Cai , Tengyao Wang

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

We propose an online detection procedure for cascading failures in the network from sequential data, which can be modeled as multiple correlated change-points happening during a short period. We consider a temporal diffusion network model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-09 Rui Zhang , Yao Xie , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

The emergence of time-series foundation model research elevates the growing need to measure the (dis)similarity of time-series datasets. A time-series dataset similarity measure aids research in multiple ways, including model selection,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Hongjie Chen , Akshay Mehra , Josh Kimball , Ryan A. Rossi

A network provides powerful means of representing complex relationships between entities by abstracting entities as vertices, and relationships as edges connecting vertices in a graph. Beyond the presence or absence of relationships, a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Isuru Udayangani Hewapathirana

When a predictive model is in production, it must be monitored in real-time to ensure that its performance does not suffer due to drift or abrupt changes to data. Ideally, this is done long before learning that the performance of the model…

Change-point detection and estimation procedures have been widely developed in the literature. However, commonly used approaches in change-point analysis have mainly been focusing on detecting change-points within an entire time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Chak Fung Choi , Chunxue Li , Chun Yip Yau , Zifeng Zhao

We propose a new unsupervised anomaly detection method based on the sliced-Wasserstein distance for training data selection in machine learning approaches. Our filtering technique is interesting for decision-making pipelines deploying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Julien Pallage , Antoine Lesage-Landry

To quantify the fundamental evolution of time-varying networks, and detect abnormal behavior, one needs a notion of temporal difference that captures significant organizational changes between two successive instants. In this work, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Nathan D Monnig , Francois G Meyer

This paper considers a sensor attack and fault detection problem for linear cyber-physical systems, which are subject to system noise that can obey an unknown light-tailed distribution. We propose a new threshold-based detection mechanism…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Sonia Martínez

Many real-world time series, such as in health, have changepoints where the system's structure or parameters change. Since changepoints can indicate critical events such as onset of illness, it is highly important to detect them. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Zahra Ebrahimzadeh , Min Zheng , Selcuk Karakas , Samantha Kleinberg

In many change point problems it is reasonable to assume that compared to a benchmark at a given time point $t_0$ the properties of the observed stochastic process change gradually over time for $t >t_0$. Often, these gradual changes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

We consider the change-point detection in multivariate continuous and integer valued time series. We propose a Wald-type statistic based on the estimator performed by a general contrast function; which can be constructed from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne
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