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This paper introduces an overidentification test of two alternative assumptions to identify the average treatment effect on the treated in a two-period panel data setting: unconfoundedness and common trends. Under the unconfoundedness…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-25 Martin Huber , Eva-Maria Oeß

Matching estimators for average treatment effects are widely used in the binary treatment setting, in which missing potential outcomes are imputed as the average of observed outcomes of all matches for each unit. With more than two…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Anthony D. Scotina , Francesca L. Beaudoin , Roee Gutman

This paper develops a nonparametric model that represents how sequences of outcomes and treatment choices influence one another in a dynamic manner. In this setting, we are interested in identifying the average outcome for individuals in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-16 Sukjin Han

Popular empirical strategies for policy evaluation in the panel data literature -- including difference-in-differences (DID), synthetic control (SC) methods, and their variants -- rely on key identifying assumptions that can be expressed…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Yiqi Liu

A key assumption of the differences-in-differences designs is that the average evolution of untreated potential outcomes is the same across different treatment cohorts: a parallel trends assumption. In this paper, we relax the parallel…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-10 Myungkou Shin

We consider the problem of estimating the common time of a change in the mean parameters of panel data when dependence is allowed between the panels in the form of a common factor. A CUSUM type estimator is proposed, and we establish first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Gregory Rice , Jia Wang

Difference-in-differences (DID) is a widely used approach for drawing causal inference from observational panel data. Two common estimation strategies for DID are outcome regression and propensity score weighting. In this paper, motivated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-05 Fan Li , Fan Li

This paper proposes a doubly robust two-stage semiparametric difference-in-difference estimator for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with high-dimensional data. Our new estimator is robust to model miss-specifications and allows…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-08 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Jing Tao

Economists often estimate continuous treatment effects in panel data using linear two-way fixed effects models (TWFE). When the treatment-outcome relationship is nonlinear, TWFE is misspecifed and potentially biased for the average partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Sylvia Klosin , Max Vilgalys

We study the nonparametric change point estimation for common changes in the means of panel data. The consistency of estimates is investigated when the number of panels tends to infinity but the sample size remains finite. Our focus is on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Leonid Torgovitski

Existing weighting methods for treatment effect estimation are often built upon the idea of propensity scores or covariate balance. They usually impose strong assumptions on treatment assignment or outcome model to obtain unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Dongcheng Zhang , Kunpeng Zhang

We consider the problem of identifying intermediate variables (or mediators) that regulate the effect of a treatment on a response variable. While there has been significant research on this classical topic, little work has been done when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Abhishek Chakrabortty , Preetam Nandy , Hongzhe Li

Difference-in-Differences (DID) research designs usually rely on variation of treatment timing such that, after making an appropriate parallel trends assumption, one can identify, estimate, and make inference about causal effects. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-07 Michelle Marcus , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Under what circumstances is it a threat to the parallel trends assumption required for Difference in Differences (DiD) studies if treatment decisions are based on past values of the outcome? We explore via simulation studies whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Zach Shahn

This paper aims to partially identify the distributional treatment effects (DTEs) that depend on the unknown joint distribution of treated and untreated potential outcomes. We construct the DTE bounds using panel data and allow individuals…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Heshani Madigasekara , D. S. Poskitt , Lina Zhang , Xueyan Zhao

Identifying heterogeneity in a population's response to a health or policy intervention is crucial for evaluating and informing policy decisions. We propose a novel heterogeneous treatment effect estimator in the difference-in-differences…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Xinkun Nie , Chen Lu , Stefan Wager

The average treatment effect (ATE) is commonly used to quantify the main effect of a binary treatment on an outcome. Extensions to continuous treatments are usually based on the dose-response curve or shift interventions, but both require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Oliver J. Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Randomized clinical trials typically aim to estimate a marginal treatment effect. While covariate adjustment can improve precision, it may change the estimand in nonlinear models due to noncollapsibility, leading to conditional rather than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Leticia Wuethrich , Torsten Hothorn

Difference-in-differences is undoubtedly one of the most widely used methods for evaluating the causal effect of an intervention in observational (i.e., nonrandomized) settings. The approach is typically used when pre- and post-exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Chan Park , David Richardson

In this paper, we address the issue of estimating and inferring distributional treatment effects in randomized experiments. The distributional treatment effect provides a more comprehensive understanding of treatment heterogeneity compared…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-15 Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Yuta Hayakawa , Undral Byambadalai