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Time series anomalies can offer information relevant to critical situations facing various fields, from finance and aerospace to the IT, security, and medical domains. However, detecting anomalies in time series data is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Alexander Geiger , Dongyu Liu , Sarah Alnegheimish , Alfredo Cuesta-Infante , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Silvan Melchior , Sebastian Curi , Felix Berkenkamp , Andreas Krause

Google uses continuous streams of data from industry partners in order to deliver accurate results to users. Unexpected drops in traffic can be an indication of an underlying issue and may be an early warning that remedial action may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-15 Dominique T. Shipmon , Jason M. Gurevitch , Paolo M. Piselli , Stephen T. Edwards

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

Gaussian process (GP) regression with 1D inputs can often be performed in linear time via a stochastic differential equation formulation. However, for non-Gaussian likelihoods, this requires application of approximate inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Paul E. Chang , William J. Wilkinson , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Arno Solin

Detecting anomalies in time series data is a critical task across many domains. The challenge intensifies when anomalies are sparse and the data are multivariate with relational dependencies across sensors or nodes. Traditional univariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Sneh Pillai

In an era of ubiquitous large-scale streaming data, the availability of data far exceeds the capacity of expert human analysts. In many settings, such data is either discarded or stored unprocessed in datacenters. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Xin Jiang , Rebecca Willett

Anomaly detection is widely used in network intrusion detection, autonomous driving, medical diagnosis, credit card frauds, etc. However, several key challenges remain open, such as lack of ground truth labels, presence of complex temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Shyam Sundar Saravanan , Tie Luo , Mao Van Ngo

We present a novel Kalman filter for spatiotemporal systems called the numerical Gaussian process Kalman filter (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been introduced as a physics informed machine learning method for simulating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

Parameter estimation is crucial for modeling, tracking, and control of complex dynamical systems. However, parameter uncertainties can compromise system performance under a controller relying on nominal parameter values. Typically,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Mouhyemen Khan , Abhijit Chatterjee

Automatically detecting anomalies in event data can provide substantial value in domains such as healthcare, DevOps, and information security. In this paper, we frame the problem of detecting anomalous continuous-time event sequences as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Oleksandr Shchur , Ali Caner Türkmen , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus , Stephan Günnemann

Anomalies and outliers are common in real-world data, and they can arise from many sources, such as sensor faults. Accordingly, anomaly detection is important both for analyzing the anomalies themselves and for cleaning the data for further…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-13 Haitao Liu , Randy C. Paffenroth , Jian Zou , Chong Zhou

We study anomaly detection and introduce an algorithm that processes variable length, irregularly sampled sequences or sequences with missing values. Our algorithm is fully unsupervised, however, can be readily extended to supervised or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Fatih Ilhan , Ismail Balaban , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Fadhel Ayed , Lorenzo Stella , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Anomaly detection in time series data is a significant problem faced in many application areas such as manufacturing, medical imaging and cyber-security. Recently, Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) have gained attention for generation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Md Abul Bashar , Richi Nayak

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

Time-series anomaly detection plays an important role in engineering processes, like development, manufacturing and other operations involving dynamic systems. These processes can greatly benefit from advances in the field, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Lucas Correia , Jan-Christoph Goos , Philipp Klein , Thomas Bäck , Anna V. Kononova

In this paper, we propose RFF-GP-HSMM, a fast unsupervised time-series segmentation method that incorporates random Fourier features (RFF) to address the high computational cost of the Gaussian process hidden semi-Markov model (GP-HSMM).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Issei Saito , Masatoshi Nagano , Tomoaki Nakamura , Daichi Mochihashi , Koki Mimura

Anomaly detection is an important task in many real world applications such as fraud detection, suspicious activity detection, health care monitoring etc. In this paper, we tackle this problem from supervised learning perspective in online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-28 Chandresh Kumar Maurya , Durga Toshniwal , Gopalan Vijendran Venkoparao