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In this paper we construct an inferential procedure for Granger causality in high-dimensional non-stationary vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Our method does not require knowledge of the order of integration of the time series under…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-18 Alain Hecq , Luca Margaritella , Stephan Smeekes

Generalized additive index models (GAIMs) offer a flexible semiparametric framework for capturing complex data relationships, balancing the interpretability of parametric models with the flexibility of nonparametric approaches. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Ziyu Peng , Linglingzhi Zhu , Yao Xie

The authors propose a new modeling approach based on the impedance field method (IFM) to analyze the general geometric variations in device simulations. Compared with the direct modeling of multiple variational devices, the proposed…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-04-27 Bo Fu , Seonghoon Jin , Woosung Choi , Keun-Ho Lee , Young-Kwan Park

The advent of the big data era brought new opportunities and challenges to draw treatment effect in data fusion, that is, a mixed dataset collected from multiple sources (each source with an independent treatment assignment mechanism). Due…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Anpeng Wu , Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Minqing Zhu , Yuxuan Liu , Bo Li , Furui Liu , Zhihua Wang , Fei Wu

Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured exposures is a fundamental challenge in modern applications ranging from neuroscience and finance to environmental science. While the literature has addressed high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Samhita Pal , Dhrubajyoti Ghosh

Instrumental variables analysis using genetic markers as instruments is now a widely used technique in epidemiology and biostatistics. As single markers tend to explain only a small proportion of phenotypic variation, there is increasing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-09 Paul S. Clarke , Tom M. Palmer , Frank Windmeijer

Cross-site generalizability in medical AI is fundamentally compromised by selection bias, a structural mechanism where patient demographics (e.g., age, severity) non-randomly dictate hospital assignment. Conventional Domain Generalization…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Shaojin Bai , Yuting Su , Weizhi Nie

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

As network data applications continue to expand, causal inference within networks has garnered increasing attention. However, hidden confounders complicate the estimation of causal effects. Most methods rely on the strong ignorability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Xiaojing Du , Feiyu Yang , Wentao Gao , Xiongren Chen

The linear instrumental variable (IV) model is widely used in observational studies, yet its validity hinges on strong assumptions. Classical specification tests such as the Sargan-Hansen J test are limited to overidentified settings and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Cyrill Scheidegger , Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Unlike other techniques of causality inference, the use of valid instrumental variables can deal with unobserved sources of both variable errors, variable omissions, and sampling bias, and still arrive at consistent estimates of average…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-17 Øyvind Hoveid

Variational inference provides a powerful tool for approximate probabilistic in- ference on complex, structured models. Typical variational inference methods, however, require to use inference networks with computationally tractable proba-…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Qiang Liu , Yihao Feng

Instrumental variable methods are widely used for causal inference, but identification becomes especially challenging when instruments are weak and potentially invalid. These challenges are particularly pronounced in Mendelian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Di Zhang , Minhao Yao , Zhonghua Liu , Baoluo Sun

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Instrumental variables have been widely used for estimating the causal effect between exposure and outcome. Conventional estimation methods require complete knowledge about all the instruments' validity; a valid instrument must not have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Hyunseung Kang , Anru Zhang , T. Tony Cai , Dylan S. Small

Domain generalization (DG) aims to learn from multiple source domains a model that can generalize well on unseen target domains. Existing DG methods mainly learn the representations with invariant marginal distribution of the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Junkun Yuan , Xu Ma , Ruoxuan Xiong , Mingming Gong , Xiangyu Liu , Fei Wu , Lanfen Lin , Kun Kuang

A machine-learnable variational scheme using Gaussian radial basis functions (GRBFs) is presented and used to approximate linear problems on bounded and unbounded domains. In contrast to standard mesh-free methods, which use GRBFs to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Jonas A. Actor , Anthony Gruber , Eric C. Cyr , Nathaniel Trask

This paper proposes a robust method for fault detection and severity estimation in multivariate time-series data to enhance predictive maintenance of mechanical systems. We use the Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (T-GCN) model to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-07 Youngjae Jeon , Eunho Heo , Jinmo Lee , Taewon Uhm , Dongjin Lee