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The aim of this note is to construct a probability measure on the space of trajectories in a continuous time Markov chain having a finite state diagram, or more generally which admits a global bound on its degree and rates. Our approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

We provide a computationally and statistically efficient method for estimating the parameters of a stochastic covariance model observed on a regular spatial grid in any number of dimensions. Our proposed method, which we call the Debiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Arthur P. Guillaumin , Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Frederik J. Simons

A new forecasting method based on the concept of the profile predictive the likelihood function is proposed for discrete-valued processes. In particular, generalized autoregressive and moving average (GARMA) models for Poisson distributed…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Siuli Mukhopadhyay , V. Sathish

Behavioural distances provide a robust alternative to notions of equivalence such as bisimilarity in the context of probabilistic transition systems. They can be defined as least fixed points, whose universal property allows us to exhibit…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ruben Turkenburg , Harsh Beohar , Franck van Breugel , Clemens Kupke , Jurriaan Rot

We consider discrete nonparametric priors which induce Gibbs-type exchangeable random partitions and investigate their posterior behavior in detail. In particular, we deduce conditional distributions and the corresponding Bayesian…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Stephen G. Walker

Given two distinct datasets, an important question is if they have arisen from the the same data generating function or alternatively how their data generating functions diverge from one another. In this paper, we introduce an approach for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Marco Henrique de Almeida Inácio , Rafael Izbicki , Bálint Gyires-Tóth

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

We develop a general framework for statistical inference with the 1-Wasserstein distance. Recently, the Wasserstein distance has attracted considerable attention and has been widely applied to various machine learning tasks because of its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Masaaki Imaizumi , Hirofumi Ota , Takuo Hamaguchi

The Poisson probability distribution is frequently encountered in physical science measurements. In spite of the simplicity and familiarity of this distribution, there is considerable confusion among physicists concerning the description of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-22 Frank C. Porter

In the paper is discussed complete probabilistic description of quantum systems with application to multiqubit quantum computations. In simplest case it is a set of probabilities of transitions to some fixed set of states. The probabilities…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Yu. Vlasov

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

In the interpretation of experimental data, one is actually looking for plausible explanations. We look for a measure of plausibility, with which we can compare different possible explanations, and which can be combined when there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-12-30 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah

The problem of prediction consists in forecasting the conditional distribution of the next outcome given the past. Assume that the source generating the data is such that there is a stationary ergodic predictor whose error converges to zero…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko

We study statistical inference on the similarity/distance between two time-series under uncertain environment by considering a statistical hypothesis test on the distance obtained from Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) algorithm. The sampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-24 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

While the existing stochastic control theory is well equipped to handle dynamical systems with stochastic uncertainties, a paradigm shift using distance measure based decision making is required for the effective further exploration of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Venkatraman Renganathan , Sei Zhen Khong

This work proposes a tentative model for the calculation of dimensionless distances between phonemes; sounds are described with binary distinctive features and distances show linear consistency in terms of such features. The model can be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Tiago Tresoldi

The success of autonomous systems will depend upon their ability to safely navigate human-centric environments. This motivates the need for a real-time, probabilistic forecasting algorithm for pedestrians, cyclists, and other agents since…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Henry O. Jacobs , Owen K. Hughes , Matthew Johnson-Roberson , Ram Vasudevan

A fundamental problem arising in many areas of machine learning is the evaluation of the likelihood of a given observation under different nominal distributions. Frequently, these nominal distributions are themselves estimated from data,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

The generalized direction detection (GDD) problem involves determining the presence of a signal of interest within matrix-valued data, where the row and column spaces of the signal (if present) are known, but the speciffc coordinates are…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-09 Zhenyu Xu , Weijian Liu , Changfei Wu , Qinglei Du , Jun Liu

Similarity search is an important problem in information retrieval. This similarity is based on a distance. Symbolic representation of time series has attracted many researchers recently, since it reduces the dimensionality of these high…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-06-18 Muhammad Marwan Muhammad Fuad , Pierre-François Marteau