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In Part III of this study, we apply the price dynamical model with big buyers and big sellers developed in Part I of this paper to the daily closing prices of the top 20 banking and real estate stocks listed in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Li-Xin Wang

Many single-target regression problems require estimates of uncertainty along with the point predictions. Probabilistic regression algorithms are well-suited for these tasks. However, the options are much more limited when the prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Michael O'Malley , Adam M. Sykulski , Rick Lumpkin , Alejandro Schuler

Providing diagnostic feedback about growth is crucial to formative decisions such as targeted remedial instructions or interventions. This paper proposed a longitudinal higher-order diagnostic classification modeling approach for measuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Peida Zhan , Hong Jiao , Dandan Liao

In this paper we present a theoretical framework for determining dynamic ask and bid prices of derivatives using the theory of dynamic coherent acceptability indices in discrete time. We prove a version of the First Fundamental Theorem of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-13 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Ismail Iyigunler , Rodrigo Rodriguez

Auto-bidding is widely used in advertising systems, serving a diverse range of advertisers. Generative bidding is increasingly gaining traction due to its strong planning capabilities and generalizability. Unlike traditional reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yunshan Peng , Wenzheng Shu , Jiahao Sun , Yanxiang Zeng , Jinan Pang , Wentao Bai , Yunke Bai , Xialong Liu , Peng Jiang

In this paper, I endeavour to construct a new model, by extending the classic exogenous economic growth model by including a measurement which tries to explain and quantify the size of technological innovation ( A ) endogenously. I do not…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-03 Murad Kasim

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

In this paper, we study the dividend strategies for a shareholder with non-constant discount rate in a diffusion risk model. We assume that the dividends can only be paid at a bounded rate and restrict ourselves to the Markov strategies.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-06 Qian Zhao , Jiaqin Wei , Rongming Wang

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

A multi-agent optimization problem motivated by the management of energy systems is discussed. The associated cost function is separable and convex although not necessarily strongly convex and there exist edge-based coupling equality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Wicak Ananduta , Angelia Nedić , Carlos Ocampo-Martinez

We develop a novel deep learning approach for pricing European options in diffusion models, that can efficiently handle high-dimensional problems resulting from Markovian approximations of rough volatility models. The option pricing partial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-04 Antonis Papapantoleon , Jasper Rou

In this paper, we compare the intrusive proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) with Galerkin projection and the data-driven dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), for Heston's option pricing model. The full order model is obtained by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Sinem Kozpınar , Murat Uzunca , Bülent Karasözen

Though data augmentation has rapidly emerged as a key tool for optimization in modern machine learning, a clear picture of how augmentation schedules affect optimization and interact with optimization hyperparameters such as learning rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Boris Hanin , Yi Sun

We consider in this paper a general two-sided jump-diffusion risk model that allows for risky investments as well as for correlation between the two Brownian motions driving insurance risk and investment return. We first introduce the model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Chuancun Yin , Yuzhen Wen

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

Auto-bidding plays a crucial role in facilitating online advertising by automatically providing bids for advertisers. Reinforcement learning (RL) has gained popularity for auto-bidding. However, most current RL auto-bidding methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Jiayan Guo , Yusen Huo , Zhilin Zhang , Tianyu Wang , Chuan Yu , Jian Xu , Yan Zhang , Bo Zheng

In this paper we study the valuation problem of an insurance company by maximizing the expected discounted future dividend payments in a model with partial information that allows for a changing economic environment. The surplus process is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-03 Michaela Szölgyenyi

We consider a discrete-time version of the popular optimal dividend pay-out problem in risk theory. The novel aspect of our approach is that we allow for a risk averse insurer, i.e., instead of maximising the expected discounted dividends…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-02 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz

We propose an efficient method to evaluate callable and putable bonds under a wide class of interest rate models, including the popular short rate diffusion models, as well as their time changed versions with jumps. The method is based on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-25 Dongjae Lim , Lingfei Li , Vadim Linetsky