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Groups of humans are often able to find ways to cooperate with one another in complex, temporally extended social dilemmas. Models based on behavioral economics are only able to explain this phenomenon for unrealistic stateless matrix…

We propose a statistical model for weighted temporal networks capable of measuring the level of heterogeneity in a financial system. Our model focuses on the level of diversification of financial institutions; that is, whether they are more…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Juraj Hledik , Riccardo Rastelli

Regulators and academics are increasingly interested in the causal effect that algorithmic actions of a digital platform have on consumption. We introduce a general causal inference problem we call the steerability of consumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Gary Cheng , Moritz Hardt , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

We study online decision making problems under resource constraints, where both reward and cost functions are drawn from distributions that may change adversarially over time. We focus on two canonical settings: $(i)$ online resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Francesco Emanuele Stradi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti , Christian Kroer

Extracting from shared resources requires making choices to balance personal profit and sustainability. We present the results of a behavioural experiment wherein we manipulate the default extraction from a finite resource. Participants…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Eladio Montero-Porras , Rémi Suchon , Tom Lenaerts , Elias Fernández Domingos

Economists modeled self-control problems in decisions of people with the time-inconsistence preferences model. They argued that the source of self-control problems could be uncertainty and temptation. This paper uses an experimental test…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-20 Mohammad Mehdi Mousavi , Mahdi Kohan Sefidi , Shirin Allahyarkhani

We study consumption dependence in the context of random utility and repeated choice. We show that, in the presence of consumption dependence, the random utility model is a misspecified model of repeated rational choice. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-01 Christopher Turansick

The backpropagation method has enabled transformative uses of neural networks. Alternatively, for energy-based models, local learning methods involving only nearby neurons offer benefits in terms of decentralized training, and allow for the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-30 Martin J. Falk , Adam T. Strupp , Benjamin Scellier , Arvind Murugan

Micro-segmentation of customers in the finance sector is a non-trivial task and has been an atypical omission from recent scientific literature. Where traditional segmentation classifies customers based on coarse features such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Charl Maree , Christian W. Omlin

We investigate a multi-household DSGE model in which past aggregate consumption impacts the confidence, and therefore consumption propensity, of individual households. We find that such a minimal setup is extremely rich, and leads to a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-19 Federico Guglielmo Morelli , Michael Benzaquen , Marco Tarzia , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

As a firm varies the price of a product, consumers exhibit reference effects, making purchase decisions based not only on the prevailing price but also the product's price history. We consider the problem of learning such behavioral…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Abbas Kazerouni , Benjamin Van Roy

With negative growth in real production in many countries and debt levels which become an increasing burden on developed societies, the calls for a change in economic policy and even the monetary system become louder and increasingly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-08 Andreas Hula

Recently, there has been a growing interest in network research, especially in these fields of biology, computer science, and sociology. It is natural to address complex financial issues such as the European sovereign debt crisis from the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Hongwei Chuang , Hwai-Chung Ho

We present an elementary analysis of the dynamical aspects of the GDP / government surplus multiplier with relevance to the assessment of a country's debt repayment policy. We show the (at first) counter intuitive result that in order to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-14 Evangelos F. Magirou

In software engineering, technical debt, signifying the compromise between short-term expediency and long-term maintainability, is being addressed by researchers through various machine learning approaches. This study seeks to provide a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Eric L. Melin , Nasir U. Eisty

Borrowing constraints are a key component of modern international macroeconomic models. The analysis of Emerging Markets (EM) economies generally assumes collateral borrowing constraints, i.e., firms access to debt is constrained by the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-22 Santiago Camara , Maximo Sangiacomo

We study the relationship between foreign debt and GDP growth using a panel dataset of 50 countries from 1997 to 2015. We find that economic growth correlates positively with foreign debt and that the relationship is causal in nature by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-08 Tomoo Kikuchi , Satoshi Tobe

This paper investigates how the cost of public debt shapes fiscal policy and its effect on the economy. Using U.S. historical data, I show that when servicing the debt creates a fiscal burden, the government responds to spending shocks by…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-15 Venance Riblier

Fintech lending has become a central mechanism through which digital platforms stimulate consumption, offering dynamic, personalized credit limits that directly shape the purchasing power of consumers. Although prior research shows that…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-04 Cheuk Hang Leung , Yijun Li , Qi Wu

Consider the problem of a government that wants to reduce the debt-to-GDP (gross domestic product) ratio of a country. The government aims at choosing a debt reduction policy which minimises the total expected cost of having debt, plus the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Giorgio Ferrari