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This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

In this article, we study the extremal processes of branching Brownian motions conditioned on having an unusually large maximum. The limiting point measures form a one-parameter family and are the decoration point measures in the extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Julien Berestycki , Éric Brunet , Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

The article describes the limiting distribution of the extremes of observations that arrive in clusters. We start by studying the tail behaviour of an individual cluster and then we apply the developed theory to determine the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Bojan Basrak , Nikolina Milinčević , Petra Žugec

We consider the precise upper large deviations estimates for the maximal displacement of a branching random walk. In addition, we obtain a description of the extremal process of the branching random walk conditioned on this large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Lianghui Luo

For arrays $(S_{i,j})_{1\leq i\leq j}$ of random variables that are stationary in an appropriate sense, we show that the fluctuations of the process $(S_{1,n})_{n=1}^{\infty}$ can be bounded in terms of a measure of the ``mean…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Michael Hochman

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

Let $S=(S_k)_{k\geq 0}$ be a random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ and $\xi=(\xi_{i})_{i\in\mathbb{Z}}$ a stationary random sequence of centered random variables, independent of $S$. We consider a random walk in random scenery that is the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-23 Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Clémentine Prieur

In this article, we consider a Branching Random Walk on the real line. The genealogical structure is assumed to be given through a supercritical branching process in the i.i.d. environment and satisfies the Kesten-Stigum condition. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Ayan Bhattacharya , Zbigniew Palmowski

We review the question of the extreme values attained by a random process. We relate it to level crossings either to one boundary (first-passage problems) and two boundaries (escape problems). The extremes studied are the maximum, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Jaume Masoliver

A collection of identical and independent rare event first passage times is considered. The problem of finding the fastest out of $N$ such events to occur is called an extreme first passage time. The rare event times are singular and limit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-04-26 James MacLaurin , Jay M. Newby

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

Let $\{Z_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be a critical branching process in random environment and $\{S_{m},m\geq 0\}$ be its associated random walk. Assuming that the increments distribution of the associated random walk belongs without centering to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We derive the limiting distributions of exceedances point processes of randomly scaled weakly dependent stationary Gaussian sequences under some mild asymptotic conditions. In the literature analogous results are available only for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Enkelejd Hashorva , Zuoxiang Peng , Zhichao Weng

Let $(X_1, \xi_1), (X_2,\xi_2),\ldots$ be i.i.d.~copies of a pair $(X,\xi)$ where $X$ is a random process with paths in the Skorokhod space $D[0,\infty)$ and $\xi$ is a positive random variable. Define $S_k := \xi_1+\ldots+\xi_k$, $k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-12 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Matthias Meiners

Let S_n=X_1+...+X_n be a sum of independent symmetric random variables such that |X_{i}|\leq 1. Denote by W_n=\epsilon_{1}+...+\epsilon_{n} a sum of independent random variables such that \prob{\eps_i = \pm 1} = 1/2. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Dainius Dzindzalieta , Matas Šileikis , Tomas Juškevičius

For stationary sequences, under general local and asymptotic dependence restrictions, any limiting point process for time normalized upcrossings of high levels is a compound Poisson process, i.e., there is a clustering of high upcrossings,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-10 João Renato Sebastião , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

A random walk in a sparse random environment is a model introduced by Matzavinos et al. [Electron. J. Probab. 21, paper no. 72: 2016] as a generalization of both a simple symmetric random walk and a classical random walk in a random…

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

Using the language of regular variation, we give a sufficient condition for a point process to be in the superposition domain of attraction of a strictly stable point process. This sufficient condition is then used to obtain an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Ayan Bhattacharya , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Parthanil Roy