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The paper is devoted to the problem of disaster mitigation. It develops an emergent mechanism of resource redistribution aimed at recovering of a socio-technological system affected by a large scale disaster. The basic requirements to the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-12-24 Vasily Lubashevskiy , Taro Kanno , Kazuo Furuta

The growing frequency and intensity of wildfires pose serious threats to communities in wildland-urban interface regions. Understanding evacuation behavior is critical for effective emergency planning. This study analyzes evacuation during…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-06 Shangkun Jiang , Ruggiero Lovreglio , Thomas J. Cova , Sangung Park , Susu Xu , Xilei Zhao

A central problem in the study of human mobility is that of migration systems. Typically, migration systems are defined as a set of relatively stable movements of people between two or more locations over time. While these emergent systems…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-08 Zack W. Almquist , Tri Duc Nguyen , Mikael Sorensen , Xiao Fu , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

Relative relocation methods are commonly used to precisely relocate earthquake clusters consisting of similar waveforms. Repeating waveforms are often recorded at volcanoes, where, however, the crust structure is expected to contain strong…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-11-03 Giulia Sgattoni , Ólafur Guðmundsson , Páll Einarsson , Federico Lucchi

Human mobility is influenced by environmental change and natural disasters. Researchers have used trip distance distribution, radius of gyration of movements, and individuals' visited locations to understand and capture human mobility…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Qi Wang , John E. Taylor

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first, time-independent model, modified from Helmstetter et…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 M. J. Werner , A. Helmstetter , D. D. Jackson , Y. Y. Kagan

Recent collapses of many fisheries across the globe have challenged the mathematical approach to these systems through classic bioeconomic models. Decimated populations did not recover as fast as predicted by these models and depensatory…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-04 Sara Cuenda , Marta Llorente , José A. Capitán

Human mobility networks can reveal insights into resilience phenomena, such as population response to, impacts on, and recovery from crises. The majority of human mobility network resilience characterizations, however, focus mainly on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-02 Chia-Wei Hsu , Matthew Alexander Ho , Ali Mostafavi

Many search processes are conducted in the vicinity of a favored location, i.e., a home, which is visited repeatedly. Foraging animals return to their dens and nests to rest, scouts return to their bases to resupply, and drones return to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Arnab Pal , Łukasz Kuśmierz , Shlomi Reuveni

The aggravating effects of climate change and the growing population in hurricane-prone areas escalate the challenges in large-scale hurricane evacuations. While hurricane preparedness and response strategies vastly rely on the accuracy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Yuran Sun , Shih-Kai Huang , Xilei Zhao

In the aftermath of an extreme natural hazard, community residents must have access to functioning food retailers to maintain food security. Food security is dependent on supporting critical infrastructure systems, including electricity,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Saeed Nozhati , Yugandhar Sarkale , Bruce R. Ellingwood , Edwin K. P. Chong , Hussam Mahmoud

Travel patterns can be impacted by abnormal events. Assessing the impacts has important implications for relief operations and improving preparedness or planning for future events. Conventionally, the assessment is done followed by data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Feilong Wang , Xiangyang Guan , Cynthia Chen

This study examines behavioral responses to mobile phone evacuation alerts during the February 2024 wildfires in Valpara\'iso, Chile. Using anonymized mobile network data from 580,000 devices, we analyze population movement following…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Erick Elejalde , Timur Naushirvanov , Kyriaki Kalimeri , Elisa Omodei , Márton Karsai , Loreto Bravo , Leo Ferres

With increased frequency and intensity due to climate change, wildfires have become a growing global concern. This creates severe challenges for fire and emergency services as well as communities in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). To…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Xilei Zhao , Yiming Xu , Ruggiero Lovreglio , Erica Kuligowski , Daniel Nilsson , Thomas Cova , Alex Wu , Xiang Yan

The lack of a comprehensive decision-making approach at the community level is an important problem that warrants immediate attention. Network-level decision-making algorithms need to solve large-scale optimization problems that pose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Saeed Nozhati , Yugandhar Sarkale , Bruce Ellingwood , Edwin K. P. Chong , Hussam Mahmoud

Hurricane Ian is the deadliest and costliest hurricane in Florida's history, with 2.5 million people ordered to evacuate. As we witness increasingly severe hurricanes in the context of climate change, mobile device location data offers an…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Luyu Liu , Xiaojian Zhang , Shangkun Jiang , Xilei Zhao

In this paper, we explore the analogy between the refugees' drownings in the sea and the earthquakes' occurrences and focus on the aspect that characterizes the statistics of their spatial and temporal successions. The former is shown to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-20 Ashod Khederlarian , Martin Grant , Monika Halkort , Sara Najem

We present and analyze a three-stage stochastic optimization model that integrates output from a geoscience-based flood model with a power flow model for transmission grid resilience planning against flooding. The proposed model coordinates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Ashutosh Shukla , Erhan Kutanoglu , John Hasenbein

Extreme heat and hurricane-induced blackouts could occur simultaneously in the summer, posing great challenges to community health and well-being. Cooling centers serve as a key adaptation strategy to alleviate heat stress, especially among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-24 Tianle Duan , Fengxiu Zhang , Qingchun Li

Despite the rising importance of enhancing community resilience to disasters, our understanding on how communities recover from catastrophic events is limited. Here we study the population recovery dynamics of disaster affected regions by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-07 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Naoya Fujiwara , Yoshihide Sekimoto , Satish V. Ukkusuri