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I analyze a linear instrumental variables model with a single endogenous regressor and many instruments. I use invariance arguments to construct a new minimum distance objective function. With respect to a particular weight matrix, the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-20 Michal Kolesár

Studies that collect multi-outcome data such as tobacco and alcohol use are becoming increasingly common. In principle, multi-outcomes studies investigate the correlations between outcomes, including, causal links and/or joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 George G. Vega Yon , Mary Jo Pugh , Thomas W. Valente

Researchers must often estimate income inequality using data that give only the number of cases (e.g., families or households) whose incomes fall in "bins" such as $0-9,999, $10,000-14,999,..., $200,000+. We find that popular methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Paul T. von Hippel , Samuel V. Scarpino , Igor Holas

There are many advantages to use probability method for nonlinear system identification, such as the noises and outliers in the data set do not affect the probability models significantly; the input features can be extracted in probability…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Erick de la Rosa , Wen Yu

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Due to their flexibility and predictive performance, machine-learning based regression methods have become an important tool for predictive modeling and forecasting. However, most methods focus on estimating the conditional mean or specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Rui Li , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

Obtaining accurate class labels is often costly or unreliable, and may also be limited by privacy or other practical conditions. Compared with asking an annotator to provide the exact class, it is often easier to ask whether the true label…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Jiaxu Su , Junpeng Li , Changchun Hua , Yana Yang

The classical tests in the instrumental variable model can behave arbitrarily if the data is contaminated. For instance, one outlying observation can be enough to change the outcome of a test. We develop a framework to construct testing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-26 Jens Klooster , Mikhail Zhelonkin

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Instrumental variables estimation with many instruments is biased. Traditional bias-adjustments are closely connected to the Silverstein equation. Based on the theory of random matrices, we show that Ridge estimation of the first-stage…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Helmut Farbmacher , Rebecca Groh , Michael Mühlegger , Gabriel Vollert

In many real-world pattern recognition scenarios, such as in medical applications, the corresponding classification tasks can be of an imbalanced nature. In the current study, we focus on binary, imbalanced classification tasks, i.e.~binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Peter Bellmann , Heinke Hihn , Daniel A. Braun , Friedhelm Schwenker

The robust estimator presented in this paper processes each structure independently. The scales of the structures are estimated adaptively and no threshold is involved in spite of different objective functions. The user has to specify only…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-21 Xiang Yang , Peter Meer

Instrumental variable methods are widely used for inferring the causal effect in the presence of unmeasured confounders. Existing instrumental variable methods for nonlinear outcome models require stringent identifiability conditions. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Sai Li , Zijian Guo

The finite sample properties of estimators are usually understood or approximated using asymptotic theories. Two main asymptotic constructions have been used to characterize the presence of many instruments. The first assumes that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-30 Guy Tchuente

In this paper, we propose a general framework for combining evidence of varying quality to estimate underlying binary latent variables in the presence of restrictions imposed to respect the scientific context. The resulting algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Zhenke Wu , Livia Casciola-Rosen , Antony Rosen , Scott L. Zeger

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

Likelihood-to-evidence ratio estimation is usually cast as either a binary (NRE-A) or a multiclass (NRE-B) classification task. In contrast to the binary classification framework, the current formulation of the multiclass version has an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Christoph Weniger , Patrick Forré

Panel data methods are widely used in empirical analysis to address unobserved heterogeneity, but causal inference remains challenging when treatments are endogenous and confounding variables high-dimensional and potentially nonlinear.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Anna Baiardi , Paul S. Clarke , Andrea A. Naghi , Annalivia Polselli

A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Javier Espinosa , Christian Hennig

A nonparametric and locally adaptive Bayesian estimator is proposed for estimating a binary regression. Flexibility is obtained by modeling the binary regression as a mixture of probit regressions with the argument of each probit regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-25 Sally Wood , Robert Kohn , Remy Cottet , Wenxin Jiang , Martin Tanner
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