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A predictive model of terrorist activity is developed by examining the daily number of terrorist attacks in Indonesia from 1994 through 2007. The dynamic model employs a shot noise process to explain the self-exciting nature of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-19 Michael D. Porter , Gentry White

Homeland security in the United States faces a daunting task due to the multiple threats and hazards that can occur. Natural disasters, human-caused incidents such as terrorist attacks, and technological failures can result in significant…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Parastoo Akbari , Cameron A. MacKenzie

Heat stress has harmful effects that impact communities across the Unitedt States, particularly when high temperatures are accompanied by high humidity. The combined impact of temperature and humidity can be summarized by the heat index…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Yushan Han , Calen Randall

Sepsis is a severe condition responsible for many deaths in the United States and worldwide, making accurate prediction of outcomes crucial for timely and effective treatment. Previous studies employing machine learning faced limitations in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Arseniy Shumilov , Yueting Zhu , Negin Ashrafi , Armin Abdollahi , Greg Placencia , Kamiar Alaei , Maryam Pishgar

The spread of fake news has long been a social issue and the necessity of identifying it has become evident since its dangers are well recognized. In addition to causing uneasiness among the public, it has even more devastating…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Yuxuan Tian

Coronary Heart Disease affects millions of people worldwide and is a well-studied area of healthcare. There are many viable and accurate methods for the diagnosis and prediction of heart disease, but they have limiting points such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Jamal Al-Karaki , Philip Ilono , Sanchit Baweja , Jalal Naghiyev , Raja Singh Yadav , Muhammad Al-Zafar Khan

Inpatient violence is a common and severe problem within psychiatry. Knowing who might become violent can influence staffing levels and mitigate severity. Predictive machine learning models can assess each patient's likelihood of becoming…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Thomas Borger , Pablo Mosteiro , Heysem Kaya , Emil Rijcken , Albert Ali Salah , Floortje Scheepers , Marco Spruit

Machine learning (ML) algorithms become increasingly important in the analysis of astronomical data. However, since most ML algorithms are not designed to take data uncertainties into account, ML based studies are mostly restricted to data…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-26 Itamar Reis , Dalya Baron , Sahar Shahaf

Predictions of fatalities from violent conflict on the PRIO-GRID-month (pgm) level are characterized by high levels of uncertainty, limiting their usefulness in practical applications. We discuss the two main sources of uncertainty for this…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-13 Daniel Mittermaier , Tobias Bohne , Martin Hofer , Daniel Racek

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

Localization is the problem of estimating the location of an autonomous agent from an observation and a map of the environment. Traditional methods of localization, which filter the belief based on the observations, are sub-optimal in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-29 Devendra Singh Chaplot , Emilio Parisotto , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

We investigate an attack on a machine learning model that predicts whether a person or household will relocate in the next two years, i.e., a propensity-to-move classifier. The attack assumes that the attacker can query the model to obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Manel Slokom , Peter-Paul de Wolf , Martha Larson

Detecting changepoints in datasets with many variates is a data science challenge of increasing importance. Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in the incidence of terrorism from a global terrorism database, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead

Predicting wildfire spread is critical for land management and disaster preparedness. To this end, we present `Next Day Wildfire Spread,' a curated, large-scale, multivariate data set of historical wildfires aggregating nearly a decade of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Nita Goyal , Tharun Sankar , Matthias Ihme , Yi-Fan Chen

Targeted data poisoning attacks manipulate model predictions on specific test samples by injecting malicious data into training. Yet existing evaluations report average attack success rates over randomly selected targets, obscuring true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 William Xu , Chenyu Zhang , Yihan Wang , Matthew Y. R. Yang , Zuoqiu Liu , Gautam Kamath , Yaoliang Yu , Yiwei Lu

Terrorism instills fear in the minds of people and takes away the freedom of individuals to act as they will. Terrorism has turned out to be an international menace today. Here, we study the terrorist attack incidents which occurred in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-22 Syed Shariq Husain , Kiran Sharma , Vishwas Kukreti , Anirban Chakraborti

In the past decades, the rise of artificial intelligence has given us the capabilities to solve the most challenging problems in our day-to-day lives, such as cancer prediction and autonomous navigation. However, these applications might…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Ehsan Nowroozi , Mohammadreza Mohammadi , Pargol Golmohammadi , Yassine Mekdad , Mauro Conti , Selcuk Uluagac

We believe that "all men are created equal". With the rise of the police shootings reported by media, more people in the U.S. think that police use excessive force during law enforcement, especially to a specific group of people. We want to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-30 Yuan Wang , Yangxin Fan

Detecting cyber-anomalies and attacks are becoming a rising concern these days in the domain of cybersecurity. The knowledge of artificial intelligence, particularly, the machine learning techniques can be used to tackle these issues.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Iqbal H. Sarker

The incremental diffusion of machine learning algorithms in supporting cybersecurity is creating novel defensive opportunities but also new types of risks. Multiple researches have shown that machine learning methods are vulnerable to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Giovanni Apruzzese , Mauro Andreolini , Luca Ferretti , Mirco Marchetti , Michele Colajanni
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