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Related papers: Predicting Terrorist Attacks in the United States …

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This paper introduces new methods for studying the prevalence of terrorism around the world and over time. Our analysis treats spatial prevalence of terrorism, the changing profile of groups carrying out the acts of terrorism, and trends in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-23 Nick James , Max Menzies , James Chok , Aaron Milner , Cas Milner

Air pollution stands as the fourth leading cause of death globally. While extensive research has been conducted in this domain, most approaches rely on large datasets when it comes to prediction. This limits their applicability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Hyebong Choi

Large-scale trends in urban crime and global terrorism are well-predicted by socio-economic drivers, but focused, event-level predictions have had limited success. Standard machine learning approaches are promising, but lack…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-14 Timmy Li , Yi Huang , James Evans , Ishanu Chattopadhyay

Real-time crime forecasting is important. However, accurate prediction of when and where the next crime will happen is difficult. No known physical model provides a reasonable approximation to such a complex system. Historical crime data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Bao Wang , Penghang Yin , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , Stanley J. Osher , Jack Xin

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

Better methods to detect insider threats need new anticipatory analytics to capture risky behavior prior to losing data. In search of the best overall classifier, this work empirically scores 88 machine learning algorithms in 16 major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-31 David Noever

Rapid increase of traffic volume on urban roads over time has changed the traffic scenario globally. It has also increased the ratio of road accidents that can be severe and fatal in the worst case. To improve traffic safety and its…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Muhammad Umer , Saima Sadiq , Abid Ishaq , Saleem Ullah , Najia Saher , Hamza Ahmad Madni

Building on developments in machine learning and prior work in the science of judicial prediction, we construct a model designed to predict the behavior of the Supreme Court of the United States in a generalized, out-of-sample context. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-05 Daniel Martin Katz , Michael J Bommarito , Josh Blackman

This study examines how Artificial Intelligence can aid in identifying and mitigating cyber threats in the U.S. across four key areas: intrusion detection, malware classification, phishing detection, and insider threat analysis. Each of…

Nowadays, Breast cancer has risen to become one of the most prominent causes of death in recent years. Among all malignancies, this is the most frequent and the major cause of death for women globally. Manually diagnosing this disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Taminul Islam , Arindom Kundu , Nazmul Islam Khan , Choyon Chandra Bonik , Flora Akter , Md Jihadul Islam

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Tim Coleman , Kimberly Kaufeld , Mary Frances Dorn , Lucas Mentch

Machine learning algorithms are effective in several applications, but they are not as much successful when applied to intrusion detection in cyber security. Due to the high sensitivity to their training data, cyber detectors based on…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Giovanni Apruzzese , Mauro Andreolini , Michele Colajanni , Mirco Marchetti

Cyber risk refers to the risk of defacing reputation, monetary losses, or disruption of an organization or individuals, and this situation usually occurs by the unconscious use of cyber systems. The cyber risk is unhurriedly increasing day…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Fatama Tuz Johora , Md Shahedul Islam Khan , Esrath Kanon , Mohammad Abu Tareq Rony , Md Zubair , Iqbal H. Sarker

Phishing attacks are the most common type of cyber-attacks used to obtain sensitive information and have been affecting individuals as well as organisations across the globe. Various techniques have been proposed to identify the phishing…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Sohail Ahmed Khan , Wasiq Khan , Abir Hussain

The ability to accurately predict cyber-attacks would enable organizations to mitigate their growing threat and avert the financial losses and disruptions they cause. But how predictable are cyber-attacks? Researchers have attempted to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Nazgol Tavabi , Andrés Abeliuk , Negar Mokhberian , Jeremy Abramson , Kristina Lerman

Machine learning models have been widely used in security applications such as intrusion detection, spam filtering, and virus or malware detection. However, it is well-known that adversaries are always trying to adapt their attacks to evade…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-08-13 Fan Yang , Zhiyuan Chen

Relevant research has been highlighted in the computing community to develop machine learning models capable of predicting the occurrence of crimes, analyzing contexts of crimes, extracting profiles of individuals linked to crime, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-23 José Ribeiro , Lair Meneses , Denis Costa , Wando Miranda , Ronnie Alves

Social Media has influenced the way people socially connect, interact and opinionize. The growth in technology has enhanced communication and dissemination of information. Unfortunately,many terror groups like jihadist communities have…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Armaan Kaur , Jaspal Kaur Saini , Divya Bansal

Risk assessments to help inform criminal justice decisions have been used in the United States since the 1920s. Over the past several years, statistical learning risk algorithms have been introduced amid much controversy about fairness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Richard A. Berk