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We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

Denote by $p(k)$ the limit, as $n \rightarrow \infty$, of the probability that a random permutation on a set of size $n$ has an invariant set of size $k$. We give an asymptotic formula for $p(k)$, showing that it is asymptotically…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Ben Green , Mehtaab Sawhney

The paper studies the problem of distributed parameter estimation in multi-agent networks with exponential family observation statistics. A certainty-equivalence type distributed estimator of the consensus + innovations form is proposed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Soummya Kar , Jose Moura

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic expansion in total variation in the Central Limit Theorem when the law of the basic random variable is locally lower-bounded by the Lebesgue measure (or equivalently, has an absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-18 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino

We propose a two-sample extended empirical likelihood for inference on the difference between two p-dimensional parameters defined by estimating equations. The standard two-sample empirical likelihood for the difference is Bartlett…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Min Tsao , Fan Wu

For a given monic integral polynomial $f(x)$ of degree $n$, we define local roots $r_i$ of $f(x)$ for a completely decomposable prime $p$ by $r_i \in \mathbb{Z}$, $f(r_i) \equiv 0 \bmod p$ and $0 \le r_1 \le r_2 \le \dots \le r_n < p$. With…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Yoshiyuki Kitaoka

We establish limit theorems that describe the asymptotic local and global geometric behaviour of random enriched trees considered up to symmetry. We apply these general results to random unlabelled weighted rooted graphs and uniform random…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Benedikt Stufler

The parametric complexity is the key quantity in the minimum description length (MDL) approach to statistical model selection. Rissanen and others have shown that the parametric complexity of a statistical model approaches a simple function…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-30 James G. Dowty

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

The quasi-likelihood estimator and the Bayesian type estimator of the volatility parameter are in general asymptotically mixed normal. In case the limit is normal, the asymptotic expansion was derived in Yoshida (1997) as an application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Nakahiro Yoshida

I propose a nonparametric iid bootstrap procedure for the empirical likelihood, the exponential tilting, and the exponentially tilted empirical likelihood estimators that achieves asymptotic refinements for t tests and confidence intervals,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Seojeong Lee

The Mahonian statistic is the number of inversions in a permutation of a multiset with $a_i$ elements of type $i$, $1\le i\le m$. The counting function for this statistic is the $q$ analog of the multinomial coefficient…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-08-17 E. Rodney Canfield , Svante Janson , Doron Zeilberger

Singularly-perturbed ordinary differential equations often exhibit Stokes' phenomenon, which describes the appearance and disappearance of oscillating exponentially small terms across curves in the complex plane known as Stokes curves.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Christopher J. Lustri , Samuel C. Crew , S. Jonathan Chapman

We study the distribution of the length of longest increasing subsequences in random permutations of $n$ integers as $n$ grows large and establish an asymptotic expansion in powers of $n^{-1/3}$. Whilst the limit law was already shown by…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Folkmar Bornemann

We conduct the multifractal analysis of the level sets of the asymptotic behavior of almost additive continuous potentials $(\phi_n)_{n=1}^\infty$ on a topologically mixing subshift of finite type $X$ endowed itself with a metric associated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Julien Barral , Yan-Hui Qu

For positive integers $d$ and $p$ such that $d \ge p$, let $\mathbb{R}^{d \times p}$ denote the set of $d \times p$ real matrices, $I_p$ be the identity matrix of order $p$, and $V_{d,p} = \{x \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times p} \mid x'x = I_p\}$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Armine Bagyan , Donald Richards

We show by using the method of matched asymptotic expansions that a sufficient condition can be derived which determines when a local experiment will detect the cosmological variation of a scalar field which is driving the spacetime…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 John D. Barrow , Douglas J. Shaw

In many fields of science, generalized likelihood ratio tests are established tools for statistical inference. At the same time, it has become increasingly common that a simulator (or generative model) is used to describe complex processes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-21 Kyle Cranmer , Juan Pavez , Gilles Louppe

The asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under regularity conditions is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In this paper, we give explicit upper bounds on the distributional distance between the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Andreas Anastasiou