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We consider the problem of estimating the missing mass, partition function or evidence and its probability distribution in the case that for each sample point in the discrete sample space its (unnormalized) probability mass is revealed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Bastiaan J. Braams

In learning theory, a standard assumption is that the data is generated from a finite mixture model. But what happens when the number of components is not known in advance? The problem of estimating the number of components, also called…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Jerry Li , Allen Liu , Ankur Moitra

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

A striking result of [Acharya et al. 2017] showed that to estimate symmetric properties of discrete distributions, plugging in the distribution that maximizes the likelihood of observed multiset of frequencies, also known as the profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yanjun Han , Kirankumar Shiragur

We briefly review the use of the order parameter probability distribution function as a useful tool to obtain the critical properties of statistical mechanical models using computer Monte Carlo simulations. Some simple discrete spin…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 J. A. Plascak , P. H. L. Martins

There is a sequence of random numbers x1,x2, ..., xn and so on. Numbers are independent of each other, but all numbers are from the same continuous distribution. If x1 < x2 > x3, then x2 is a local maximum. Here, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Argyn Kuketayev

The pointwise mutual information profile, or simply profile, is the distribution of pointwise mutual information for a given pair of random variables. One of its important properties is that its expected value is precisely the mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Paweł Czyż , Frederic Grabowski , Julia E. Vogt , Niko Beerenwinkel , Alexander Marx

This work presents a non-parametric estimator for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the job-size distribution for a queue with compound Poisson input. The workload process is observed according to an independent Poisson sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Liron Ravner

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

Reasoning about the pose, i.e. position and orientation of objects is one of the cornerstones of robotic manipulation under uncertainty. In a number of joint research projects our group is developing a robotic perception system that…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Wendelin Feiten , Muriel Lang

Distributions over permutations arise in applications ranging from multi-object tracking to ranking of instances. The difficulty of dealing with these distributions is caused by the size of their domain, which is factorial in the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-16 Sergey M. Plis , Terran Lane , Vince D. Calhoun

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

This paper introduces a convenient strategy for coding and predicting sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables generated from a large alphabet of size $m$. In particular, the size of the sample is allowed to be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Xiao Yang , Andrew R. Barron

The question of polynomial learnability of probability distributions, particularly Gaussian mixture distributions, has recently received significant attention in theoretical computer science and machine learning. However, despite major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-05-13 Mikhail Belkin , Kaushik Sinha

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

This paper investigates the combinatorics that gives rise to the Boltzmann probability distribution. Despite being one of the most important distributions in physics and other fields of science, the mathematics of the underlying model of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Bart Jacobs

Self-diffusion coefficients, $D^*$, are routinely estimated from molecular dynamics simulations by fitting a linear model to the observed mean-squared displacements (MSDs) of mobile species. MSDs derived from simulation exhibit statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-05 Andrew R. McCluskey , Samuel W. Coles , Benjamin J. Morgan

The sum of $n$ {non-independent} Bernoulli random variables could be modeled in several different ways. One of these is the Multiplicative Binomial Distribution (MBD), introduced by Altham (1978) and revised by Lovison (1998). In this work,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Francesca Fortunato

A reparametrized Dirichlet-multinomial distribution is introduced, and the covariance matrix, as well as, the algorithm for calculating the PDF for n species are provided. The distribution is suited for modelling the joint distribution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-04 Christian Damgaard