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This paper develops a method for estimating housing production functions when builders choose capital after observing local conditions that are unobserved by the econometrician. Because observed capital variation reflects both technological…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-06 Yusuke Adachi

Housing markets are inherently spatial, yet many existing models fail to capture this spatial dimension. Here we introduce a new graph-based approach for incorporating a spatial component in a large-scale urban housing agent-based model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Benjamin Patrick Evans , Kirill Glavatskiy , Michael S. Harré , Mikhail Prokopenko

Gas demand is made of three components: Residential, Industrial, and Thermoelectric Gas Demand. Herein, the one-day-ahead prediction of each component is studied, using Italian data as a case study. Statistical properties and relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Emanuele Fabbiani , Andrea Marziali , Giuseppe De Nicolao

One of the most far-reaching use cases of the internet of things is in smart grid and smart home operation. The smart home concept allows residents to control, monitor, and manage their energy consumption with minimum loss and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-11 S. Saba Rafiei , Mahdi S. Naderi , Mehrdad Abedi

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Policy targets are being set increasingly for social and economic variables in the UK. This approach requires that reasonably successful ex ante forecasts can be made. We propose a general methodology for assessing the extent to which this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Ormerod , Laurence Smith

Being able to adjust the demand of electricity can be an effective means for power system operators to compensate fluctuating renewable generation, to avoid grid congestion, and to cope with other contingencies. Electric heating and cooling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-21 Fabian L. Müller , Bernhard Jansen

Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Antonios Tziorvas , George S. Theodoropoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Forecasts of product demand are essential for short- and long-term optimization of logistics and production. Thus, the most accurate prediction possible is desirable. In order to optimally train predictive models, the deviation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Dominik Martin , Philipp Spitzer , Niklas Kühl

We study multi-type housing markets, where there are $p\ge 2$ types of items, each agent is initially endowed one item of each type, and the goal is to design mechanisms without monetary transfer to (re)allocate items to the agents based on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-24 Sibel Adali , Sujoy Sikdar , Lirong Xia

While urban systems demonstrate high spatial heterogeneity, many urban planning, economic and political decisions heavily rely on a deep understanding of local neighborhood contexts. We show that the structure of 311 Service Requests…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-07 Lingjing Wang , Cheng Qian , Constantine Kontokosta , Stanislav Sobolevsky

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Apoorva Karagappa , Pawandeep Kaur Betz , Jonas Gilg , Moritz Zeumer , Andreas Gerndt , Bernhard Preim

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

The prediction of a stock market direction may serve as an early recommendation system for short-term investors and as an early financial distress warning system for long-term shareholders. Many stock prediction studies focus on using…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Yanshan Wang

In this research paper, I have performed time series analysis and forecasted the monthly value of housing starts for the year 2019 using several econometric methods - ARIMA(X), VARX, (G)ARCH and machine learning algorithms - artificial…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Sudiksha Joshi

Crowdsourcing has been successfully applied in many domains including astronomy, cryptography and biology. In order to test its potential for useful application in a Smart Grid context, this paper investigates the extent to which a crowd…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Mark D. Wagy , Josh C. Bongard , James P. Bagrow , Paul D. H. Hines

Predictive models are often used for real-time decision making. However, typical machine learning techniques ignore feature evaluation cost, and focus solely on the accuracy of the machine learning models obtained utilizing all the features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-19 Leilani Battle , Edward Benson , Aditya Parameswaran , Eugene Wu

We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay R. Berry , Paul Helman , Mike West

The residential buildings sector is one of the largest electricity consumers worldwide and contributes disproportionally to peak electricity demand in many regions. Strongly driven by occupant activities at home, household energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-05 Jianli Chen , Rajendra Adhikari , Eric Wilson , Joseph Robertson , Anthony Fontanini , Ben Polly , Opeoluwa Olawale