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We investigate the parameter estimation and prediction of two forms of the stochastic SIR model driven by small L\'{e}vy noise with time-dependent periodic transmission. We present consistency and rate of convergence results for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

This paper presents an SIR epidemic model with two different types of perturbations: white and L\'evy noises. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. We use the comparison…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar

This paper provides a first attempt to incorporate the massive discontinuous changes in the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics. Namely, we propose an extended class of epidemic models, governed by coupled stochastic semilinear partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Mohamed Mehdaoui

In this study, we investigate a stochastic SIR model with media effects. The uniqueness and the existence of a global positive solution are studied. The sufficient conditions of extinction and persistence of the disease are established. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-18 Jiaxun Li , Yanni Xiao

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

Our study focuses on analyzing the behavior of a stochastic predator-prey model with a time delay and logistic growth of prey, influenced by L\'{e}vy noise. Initially, we establish the existence, uniqueness, and boundedness of a positive…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

This paper considers stochastic population dynamics driven by Levy noise. The contributions of this paper lie in that (a) Using Khasminskii-Mao theorem, we show that the stochastic differential equation associated with the model has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-09 Jianhai Bao , Chenggui Yuan

This paper studies stabilities of stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by time-changed L\'evy noise in both probability and moment sense. This provides more flexibility in modeling schemes in application areas including physics,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Erkan Nane , Yinan Ni

Natural fluctuations have played a crucial role in affecting the dynamics of pervasive diseases such as the coronavirus. Examining the effects of irregular unsettling disturbances on epidemic models is important for understanding these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Daniel Tesfay , Almaz Tesfay , James Brannan

This article is concerned with a mutualism ecological model with Levy noise. The local existence and uniqueness of a positive solution are obtained with positive initial value, and the asymptotic behavior to the problem is studied.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Mei Li , Hongjun Gao , Binjun Wang

We propose and study a shifted SICA epidemic model, extending the one of Silva and Torres (2017) to the stochastic setting driven by both Brownian motion processes and jump L\'evy noise. L\'evy noise perturbations are usually ignored by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Houssine Zine , Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

The aim of this paper is to study the stochastic SIR equation with general incidence functional responses and in which both natural death rates and the incidence rate are perturbed by white noises. We derive a sufficient and almost…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 N. H. Du , N. N. Nhu

We study inference for the driving L\'evy noise of an ergodic stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, when the process is observed at high-frequency and long time and when the drift and scale coefficients contain finite-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hiroki Masuda , Lorenzo Mercuri , Yuma Uehara

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-05 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

We study a stochastic differential equation with an unbounded drift and general H\"older continuous noise of an arbitrary order. The corresponding equation turns out to have a unique solution that, depending on a particular shape of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

This paper investigates the long-time dynamics of solutions for an abstract nonlinear stochastic hydrodynamic-type equation driven by multiplicative L\'{e}vy noise. The framework encompasses several key hydrodynamical models, including the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Jiangwei Zhang

We present a general method to construct couplings of stochastic differential equations driven by L\'{e}vy noise in terms of coupling operators. This approach covers both coupling by reflection and refined basic coupling which are often…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Mingjie Liang , René L. Schilling , Jian Wang

This paper deals with a new epidemiological model of SIRS with stochastic perturbations. The primary objective is to establish the existence of a unique non-negative nonlocal solution. Using the basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Achraf Zinihi , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi , Matthias Ehrhardt

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

Recently, emerging epidemics like COVID-19 and its variants require predictive mathematical models to implement suitable responses in order to limit their negative and profound impact on society. The SIR (Susceptible-InfectedRemoved) system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Driss Kiouach , Yassine Sabbar
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