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Scholars frequently use covariate balance tests to test the validity of natural experiments and related designs. Unfortunately, when measured covariates are unrelated to potential outcomes, balance is uninformative about key identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Clara Bicalho , Adam Bouyamourn , Thad Dunning

Every prediction is ultimately used in a downstream task. Consequently, evaluating prediction quality is more meaningful when considered in the context of its downstream use. Metrics based solely on predictive performance often diverge from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Novin Shahroudi , Viacheslav Komisarenko , Meelis Kull

We consider the problem of constructing an adaptive bridge regression modeling, which is a penalized procedure by imposing different weights to different coefficients in the bridge penalty term. A crucial issue in the modeling process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-15 Shuichi Kawano

Latent variable models for network data extract a summary of the relational structure underlying an observed network. The simplest possible models subdivide nodes of the network into clusters; the probability of a link between any two nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Konstantina Palla , David Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

The ongoing replication crisis in science has increased interest in the methodology of replication studies. We propose a novel Bayesian analysis approach using power priors: The likelihood of the original study's data is raised to the power…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Samuel Pawel , Frederik Aust , Leonhard Held , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Imputing missing potential outcomes using an estimated regression function is a natural idea for estimating causal effects. In the literature, estimators that combine imputation and regression adjustments are believed to be comparable to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Zhexiao Lin , Fang Han

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

This paper develops a new framework, called modular regression, to utilize auxiliary information -- such as variables other than the original features or additional data sets -- in the training process of linear models. At a high level, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Recent advances in deep learning have achieved impressive gains in classification accuracy on a variety of types of data, including images and text. Despite these gains, however, concerns have been raised about the calibration, robustness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Dallas Card , Michael Zhang , Noah A. Smith

Public model repositories now contain millions of models, yet most models remain undocumented and effectively lost. In this position paper, we advocate for charting the world's model population in a unified structure we call the Model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Eliahu Horwitz , Nitzan Kurer , Jonathan Kahana , Liel Amar , Yedid Hoshen

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

This paper proposes two distinct contributions to econometric analysis of large information sets and structural instabilities. First, it treats a regression model with time-varying coefficients, stochastic volatility and exogenous…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-27 Dimitris Korobilis

Previous research has shown that ignoring individual differences of factor loadings in conventional factor models may reduce the determinacy of factor score predictors. Therefore, the aim of the present study is to propose a heterogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger , Anneke C. Weide

As a principled dimension reduction technique, factor models have been widely adopted in social science, economics, bioinformatics, and many other fields. However, in high-dimensional settings, conducting a 'correct' Bayesianfactor analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Yucong Ma , Jun S. Liu

Standard linear modeling approaches make potentially simplistic assumptions regarding the structure of categorical effects that may obfuscate more complex relationships governing data. For example, recent work focused on the two-way…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thomas A. Metzger , Christopher T. Franck

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtain robust estimates. The weight, attached to each score contribution, is evaluated by comparing the statistical data depth at the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Claudio Agostinelli

Many machine learning tasks that involve predicting an output response can be solved by training a weighted regression model. Unfortunately, the predictive power of this type of models may severely deteriorate under low sample sizes or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Tam Le , Truyen Nguyen , Makoto Yamada , Jose Blanchet , Viet Anh Nguyen

Missing data arises when certain values are not recorded or observed for variables of interest. However, most of the statistical theory assume complete data availability. To address incomplete databases, one approach is to fill the gaps…

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