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Nested simulation encompasses the estimation of functionals linked to conditional expectations through simulation techniques. In this paper, we treat conditional expectation as a function of the multidimensional conditioning variable and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Ruoxue Liu , Liang Ding , Wenjia Wang , Lu Zou

This paper considers the challenging computational task of estimating nested expectations. Existing algorithms, such as nested Monte Carlo or multilevel Monte Carlo, are known to be consistent but require a large number of samples at both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Zonghao Chen , Masha Naslidnyk , François-Xavier Briol

Nested simulation is a natural approach to tackle nested estimation problems in operations research and financial engineering. The outer-level simulation generates outer scenarios and the inner-level simulations are run in each outer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-31 Kun Zhang , Ben Mingbin Feng , Guangwu Liu , Shiyu Wang

We investigate the problem of computing a nested expectation of the form $\mathbb{P}[\mathbb{E}[X|Y] \!\geq\!0]\!=\!\mathbb{E}[\textrm{H}(\mathbb{E}[X|Y])]$ where $\textrm{H}$ is the Heaviside function. This nested expectation appears, for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-15 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

High-dimensional simulation optimization is notoriously challenging. We propose a new sampling algorithm that converges to a global optimal solution and suffers minimally from the curse of dimensionality. The algorithm consists of two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Xiaowei Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Kernel ridge regression (KRR), also known as the least-squares support vector machine, is a fundamental method for learning functions from finite samples. While most existing analyses focus on the noisy setting with constant-level label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-14 Jihao Long , Xiaojun Peng , Lei Wu

We analyze convergence rates of stochastic optimization procedures for non-smooth convex optimization problems. By combining randomized smoothing techniques with accelerated gradient methods, we obtain convergence rates of stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-10 John C. Duchi , Peter L. Bartlett , Martin J. Wainwright

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Kernel methods for deconvolution have attractive features, and prevail in the literature. However, they have disadvantages, which include the fact that they are usually suitable only for cases where the error distribution is infinitely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Peter Hall , Alexander Meister

Estimating nested expectations is an important task in computational mathematics and statistics. In this paper we propose a new Monte Carlo method using post-stratification to estimate nested expectations efficiently without taking samples…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Tomohiko Hironaka , Takashi Goda

We consider the problem of optimizing the sum of a smooth convex function and a non-smooth convex function using proximal-gradient methods, where an error is present in the calculation of the gradient of the smooth term or in the proximity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-12-02 Mark Schmidt , Nicolas Le Roux , Francis Bach

Kernel quadrature is widely used to approximate integrals of smooth functions, with worst-case error typically decaying at the minimax rate $n^{-\alpha/d}$ for smoothness $\alpha$ in dimension $d$. Existing rate-optimal methods often depend…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Edoardo Bandoni , Christian Robert , Julien Stoehr

This study introduces a debiasing method for regression estimators, including high-dimensional and nonparametric regression estimators. For example, nonparametric regression methods allow for the estimation of regression functions in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Masahiro Kato

Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

We study in this paper a smoothness regularization method for functional linear regression and provide a unified treatment for both the prediction and estimation problems. By developing a tool on simultaneous diagonalization of two positive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-13 Ming Yuan , T. Tony Cai

Randomized smoothing has shown promising certified robustness against adversaries in classification tasks. Despite such success with only zeroth-order access to base models, randomized smoothing has not been extended to a general form of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Aref Miri Rekavandi , Olga Ohrimenko , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

Randomized smoothing has emerged as a potent certifiable defense against adversarial attacks by employing smoothing noises from specific distributions to ensure the robustness of a smoothed classifier. However, the utilization of Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Devansh Bhardwaj , Kshitiz Kaushik , Sarthak Gupta

Kernel ridge regression is an important nonparametric method for estimating smooth functions. We introduce a new set of conditions, under which the actual rates of convergence of the kernel ridge regression estimator under both the L_2 norm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Rui Tuo , Yan Wang , C. F. Jeff Wu

Motivated by various computational applications, we investigate the problem of estimating nested expectations. Building upon recent work by the authors, we propose a novel Monte Carlo estimator for nested expectations, inspired by sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Tomohiko Hironaka , Takashi Goda
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