Related papers: A probabilistic tree model to analyze fuzzy rating…
Modeling fuzziness and imprecision in human rating data is a crucial problem in many research areas, including applied statistics, behavioral, social, and health sciences. Because of the interplay between cognitive, affective, and…
In this contribution we describe a novel procedure to represent fuzziness in rating scales in terms of fuzzy numbers. Following the rationale of fuzzy conversion scale, we adopted a two-step procedure based on a psychometric model (i.e.,…
In several research areas, ratings data and response times have been successfully used to unfold the stage-wise process through which human raters provide their responses to questionnaires and social surveys. A limitation of the standard…
Modeling human ratings data subject to raters' decision uncertainty is an attractive problem in applied statistics. In view of the complex interplay between emotion and decision making in rating processes, final raters' choices seldom…
Fault tree analysis is a vital method of assessing safety risks. It helps to identify potential causes of accidents, assess their likelihood and severity, and suggest preventive measures. Quantitative analysis of fault trees is often done…
Aiming at the group decision - making problem with multi - objective attributes, this study proposes a group decision - making system that integrates fuzzy inference and Bayesian network. A fuzzy rule base is constructed by combining…
In this paper we investigate the use of staged tree models for discrete longitudinal data. Staged trees are a type of probabilistic graphical model for finite sample space processes. They are a natural fit for longitudinal data because a…
Fuzzy rule-based model is a powerful tool for imitating the human way of thinking and solving uncertainty-related problems as it allows for understandable and interpretable rule bases. The objective of this paper is to study the…
We provide a rigorous framework for handling uncertainty in quantitative fault tree analysis based on fuzzy theory. We show that any algorithm for fault tree unreliability analysis can be adapted to this framework in a fully general and…
Staged trees are probabilistic graphical models capable of representing any class of non-symmetric independence via a coloring of its vertices. Several structural learning routines have been defined and implemented to learn staged trees…
The practice of stochastic sensitivity analysis described in the decision analysis literature is a testimonial to the need for considering deviations from precise point estimates of uncertainty. We propose the use of Bayesian fuzzy…
Decision trees have been widely used in machine learning. However, due to some reasons, data collecting in real world contains a fuzzy and uncertain form. The decision tree should be able to handle such fuzzy data. This paper presents a…
A statistical, data-driven method is presented that quantifies influences between variables of a dynamical system. The method is based on finding a suitable representation of points by fuzzy affiliations with respect to landmark points…
This study first reviews fuzzy random Portfolio selection theory and describes the concept of portfolio optimization model as a useful instrument for helping finance practitioners and researchers. Second, this paper specifically aims at…
Meta-analysis represents a widely accepted approach for evaluating the accuracy of diagnostic tools in clinical and psychological investigations. This paper investigates the applicability of multinomial tree models recently suggested in the…
In a recent paper [1] we introduced the Fuzzy Bayesian Learning (FBL) paradigm where expert opinions can be encoded in the form of fuzzy rule bases and the hyper-parameters of the fuzzy sets can be learned from data using a Bayesian…
In this paper we establish a link between fuzzy and preferential semantics for description logics and Self-Organising Maps, which have been proposed as possible candidates to explain the psychological mechanisms underlying category…
This paper discusses a fuzzy model for multi-level human emotions recognition by computer systems through keyboard keystrokes, mouse and touchscreen interactions. This model can also be used to detect the other possible emotions at the time…
Decision trees are widely used for non-linear modeling, as they capture interactions between predictors while producing inherently interpretable models. Despite their popularity, performing inference on the non-linear fit remains largely…
Tree search is a fundamental tool for planning, as many sequential decision-making problems can be framed as searching over tree-structured spaces. We propose an uncertainty-guided tree search algorithm for settings where the reward…