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Statistical tests of earthquake predictions require a null hypothesis to model occasional chance successes. To define and quantify `chance success' is knotty. Some null hypotheses ascribe chance to the Earth: Seismicity is modeled as…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-21 Brad Luen , Philip B. Stark

Although researchers accumulated knowledge about seismogenesis and decades-long earthquake data, predicting imminent individual earthquakes at a specific time and location remains a long-standing enigma. This study hypothesizes that the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-07-28 In Ho Cho

The distribution of inter-occurrence time between seismic events is a quantity of great interest in seismic risk assessment. We evaluate this distribution for different models of earthquakes occurrence and follow two distinct approaches:…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godano , L. de Arcangelis

A hanging glacier at the east face of Weisshorn broke off in 2005. We were able to monitor and measure surface motion and icequake activity for 21 days up to three days prior to the break-off. Results are presented from the analysis of…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-07-01 J. Faillettaz , M. Funk , D. Sornette

The dynamic energy balance is essential for earthquake studies. The energy balance approach is one of the most famous developments in fracture mechanics. To interpret seismological data, crack models and sliding on a frictional surface…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-01-19 Xin Wang , Juan Liu , Feng Gao , Zhizhen Zhang

We discuss the detectability of gravitational waves with a time dependent mass contribution, by means of the stochastic gravitational wave observations. Such a mass term typically arises in the cosmological solutions of massive gravity…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2012-12-13 A. Emir Gumrukcuoglu , Sachiko Kuroyanagi , Chunshan Lin , Shinji Mukohyama , Norihiro Tanahashi

This paper focuses on the problem of anticipating the local occurrence of future large earthquakes. "Local" is defined as the probability of a large earthquake occurring with a defined circle of arbitrary radius surrounding a point of…

Ground-based gravitational wave interferometers such as the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-wave Observatory (LIGO) are susceptible to high-magnitude teleseismic events, which can interrupt their operation in science mode and…

The successful prediction of earthquakes is one of the holy grails in Earth Sciences. Traditional predictions use statistical information on recurrence intervals, but those predictions are not accurate enough. In a recent paper, a machine…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-11-16 Silke van Klaveren , Ivan Vasconcelos , Andre Niemeijer

Using a method based on normalized monthly variation rate, we studied resistivity data of seven observation stations before the events in the epicenter areas of two strong earthquakes. The relationship between variation of anisotropic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-20 Jianguo Zhang , Wei Du , Mingxin Yue , Chenghui Liu , Xiaolong Liang , Jun Yang

Vortices are believed to greatly help the formation of km sized planetesimals by collecting dust particles in their centers. However, vortex dynamics is commonly studied in non-self-gravitating disks. The main goal here is to examine the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. R. Mamatsashvili , W. K. M. Rice

Fine structure of giant resonances (GR) has been established in recent years as a global phenomenon across the nuclear chart and for different types of resonances. A quantitative description of the fine structure in terms of characteristic…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2020-05-11 Peter von Neumann-Cosel

Gravitational waves, although generally associated with extremely microscopic effects, can displace by hundreds of kilometers the pulsar interstellar scintillation patterns that bathe the Earth. The combination of the pulsar and the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-02-03 Redouane Fakir

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

Short and long range interactions between earthquakes are attracting increasing interest. Scale invariant properties of seismicity in time, space and energy argue for the presence of complex triggering mechanisms where, like a cascade…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Patrizia Tosi , Valerio De Rubeis , Vittorio Loreto , Luciano Pietronero

Recently, attempts have been made to take into account the fractal properties of seismicity when mapping the long-term rate of earthquakes. The paper touches upon the theoretical aspects of fractality and provides a critical analysis of its…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-08 G. M. Molchan

A dynamic earthquake source process is modeled by assuming interaction among frictional heat, fluid pressure, and inelastic porosity. In particular, fluid pressure increase due to frictional heating (thermal pressurization effect) and fluid…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-09-13 Takehito Suzuki

The subsequent series of responses to big events may exhibit a synchronicity of event number, frequency and energy release in different fault zones. This synchronicity is a reliable source for probing non-intuitive geological structures,…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-11-17 Zili Zhou , Huai Zhang , Huihong Cheng , Chunlin Deng , Yaolin Shi , Shi Chen , Xiwu Luan , David A. Yuen

In this paper we show that the simple analysis of the local geomagnetic field behaviour can serve as reliable imminent precursor for regional seismic activity increasing. As the first step the problem was investigated using one- component…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-12-13 Strachimir Chterev Mavrodiev , Lazo Pekevski

Rapid earthquake magnitude estimation is crucial for effective early warning systems that can save lives and reduce economic damage. In this paper, we present a comprehensive study of magnitude classification using only the vertical…