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We discuss an approach to probabilistic forecasting based on two chained machine-learning steps: a dimensional reduction step that learns a reduction map of predictor information to a low-dimensional space in a manner designed to preserve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-28 Nick Rittler , Carlo Graziani , Jiali Wang , Rao Kotamarthi

Conditional generative modeling aims to learn a conditional data distribution from samples containing data-condition pairs. For this, diffusion and flow-based methods have attained compelling results. These methods use a learned (flow)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Chen Chen , Pengsheng Guo , Liangchen Song , Jiasen Lu , Rui Qian , Xinze Wang , Tsu-Jui Fu , Wei Liu , Yinfei Yang , Alex Schwing

Long-term time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in various real-world applications. Despite recent advancements and the success of different architectures, forecasting is often challenging due to non-stationary nature of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Mert Sonmezer , Seyda Ertekin

Normalizing flows provide an elegant approach to generative modeling that allows for efficient sampling and exact density evaluation of unknown data distributions. However, current techniques have significant limitations in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sahil Sidheekh , Chris B. Dock , Tushar Jain , Radu Balan , Maneesh K. Singh

Flow matching (FM) is a family of training algorithms for fitting continuous normalizing flows (CNFs). Conditional flow matching (CFM) exploits the fact that the marginal vector field of a CNF can be learned by fitting least-squares…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Ganchao Wei , Li Ma

In many scientific applications, the target probability distribution cannot be evaluated in closed form or sampled from directly. Instead, it can often be decomposed into multiple components, some of which are accessible only through…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Roxana Darvishi , David C. Stenning , Ted von Hippel , Owen G. Ward

Conditional Flow Matching (CFM), a simulation-free method for training continuous normalizing flows, provides an efficient alternative to diffusion models for key tasks like image and video generation. The performance of CFM in solving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Aram Davtyan , Leello Tadesse Dadi , Volkan Cevher , Paolo Favaro

Given datasets from multiple domains, a key challenge is to efficiently exploit these data sources for modeling a target domain. Variants of this problem have been studied in many contexts, such as cross-domain translation and domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Aditya Grover , Christopher Chute , Rui Shu , Zhangjie Cao , Stefano Ermon

Fair representation learning is an attractive approach that promises fairness of downstream predictors by encoding sensitive data. Unfortunately, recent work has shown that strong adversarial predictors can still exhibit unfairness by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Mislav Balunović , Anian Ruoss , Martin Vechev

Probabilistic weather forecasting requires not only accurate trajectories, but calibrated distributions over plausible atmospheric futures. Recent data-driven systems have achieved remarkable deterministic skill, and diffusion-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fan Xu , Yuan Gao , Kun Wang , Rui Su , Fenghua Ling , Hao Wu , Wanli Ouyang

Extreme weather can substantially change electricity consumption behavior, causing load curves to exhibit sharp spikes and pronounced volatility. If forecasts are inaccurate during those periods, power systems are more likely to face supply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Chenxi Hu , Yue Ma , Yifan Wu , Yunhe Hou

In this work, we investigate the use of normalizing flows to model conditional distributions. In particular, we use our proposed method to analyze inverse problems with invertible neural networks by maximizing the posterior likelihood. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Zhisheng Xiao , Qing Yan , Yali Amit

Machine and statistical learning algorithms can be reliably automated and applied at scale. Therefore, they can constitute a considerable asset for designing practical forecasting systems, such as those related to urban water demand.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

This paper introduces a novel theoretical framework and a suite of highly efficient, parallelizable algorithms for solving the large-scale multicommodity flow (MCF) feasibility problem. We reframe the classical constraint-satisfaction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Pengfei Liu

Normalizing flow-based sampling methods have been successful in tackling computational challenges traditionally associated with simulating lattice quantum field theories. Further works have incorporated gauge and translational invariance of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-04-05 Dinesh P. R.

Efficient sampling of the Boltzmann distribution of molecular systems is a long-standing challenge. Recently, instead of generating long molecular dynamics simulations, generative machine learning methods such as normalizing flows have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Henrik Schopmans , Pascal Friederich

Data normalization is crucial in machine learning, usually performed by subtracting the mean and dividing by standard deviation, or by rescaling to a fixed range. In copula theory, popular in finance, there is used normalization to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jakub Strawa , Jarek Duda

A normalizing flow (NF) is a mapping that transforms a chosen probability distribution to a normal distribution. Such flows are a common technique used for data generation and density estimation in machine learning and data science. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Alexander Vidal , Samy Wu Fung , Luis Tenorio , Stanley Osher , Levon Nurbekyan

One of the most common control decisions faced by power system operators is the question of how to dispatch generation to meet demand for power. This is a complex optimization problem that includes many nonlinear, non convex constraints as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Russell Bent , Daniel Bienstock , Michael Chertkov

Multi-horizon time series forecasting has many practical applications such as demand forecasting. Accurate demand prediction is critical to help make buying and inventory decisions for supply chain management of e-commerce and physical…