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We propose a new static parameterization of the implied volatility surface which is constructed by using polynomials of sigmoid functions combined with some other terms. This parameterization is flexible enough to fit market implied…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-09 Andrey Itkin

We compute a sharp small-time estimate for implied volatility under a general uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model. For this we use the Bellaiche \cite{Bel81} heat kernel expansion combined with Laplace's method to integrate over…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 John Armstrong , Martin Forde , Matthew Lorig , Hongzhong Zhang

In this paper we study the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for European and arithmetic Asian call options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow the Bachelier model with a general stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-20 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone

We give characterizations of asymptotic arbitrage of the first and second kind and of strong asymptotic arbitrage for large financial markets with small proportional transaction costs $\la_n$ on market $n$ in terms of contiguity properties…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-05 Irene Klein , Emmanuel Lepinette , Lavinia Ostafe

"Fundamental theorem of asset pricing" roughly states that absence of arbitrage opportunity in a market is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability. We give a simple counterexample to this oversimplified statement. Prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Louis Paulot

Implied volatility IV is a key metric in financial markets, reflecting market expectations of future price fluctuations. Research has explored IV's relationship with moneyness, focusing on its connection to the implied Hurst exponent H. Our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Daniele Angelini , Fabrizio Di Sciorio

The SABR model is shortly presented and the volatility swap explained. The fair value for a volatility swap is then computed using the usual theory in financial mathematics. An analytical solution using confluent hypergeometric functions is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Simon Bossoney

Several asymptotic results for the implied volatility generated by a rough volatility model have been obtained in recent years (notably in the small-maturity regime), providing a better understanding of the shapes of the volatility surface…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-16 Florian Bourgey , Stefano De Marco , Peter K. Friz , Paolo Pigato

This paper is devoted to the application of B-splines to volatility modeling, specifically the calibration of the leverage function in stochastic local volatility models and the parameterization of an arbitrage-free implied volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Sylvain Corlay

In most cases, insurance contracts are linked to the financial markets, such as through interest rates or equity-linked insurance products. To motivate an evaluation rule in these hybrid markets, Artzner et al. (2022) introduced the notion…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-12 Katharina Oberpriller , Moritz Ritter , Thorsten Schmidt

We consider a family of mixed processes given as the sum of a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(3/4,1)$ and a multiple of an independent standard Brownian motion, the family being indexed by the scaling factor in front…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Fernando Cordero , Irene Klein , Lavinia Perez-Ostafe

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

In this article, we show how to calibrate the widely-used SVI parameterization of the implied volatility surface in such a way as to guarantee the absence of static arbitrage. In particular, we exhibit a large class of arbitrage-free SVI…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-22 Jim Gatheral , Antoine Jacquier

We provide a general method to compute a Taylor expansion in time of implied volatility for stochastic volatility models, using a heat kernel expansion. Beyond the order 0 implied volatility which is already known, we compute the first…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Louis Paulot

Albeit of crucial interest for both financial practitioners and researchers, market-implied volatility data of European swaptions often exhibit large portions of missing quotes due to illiquidity of the various underlying swaption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Ivo Richert , Robert Buch

This article establishes an asymptotic theory for volatility estimation in an infinite-dimensional setting. We consider mild solutions of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations and derive a stable central limit theorem for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Fred Espen Benth , Dennis Schroers , Almut E. D. Veraart

We propose a two-step framework for predicting the implied volatility surface over time without static arbitrage. In the first step, we select features to represent the surface and predict them over time. In the second step, we use the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-04 Wenyong Zhang , Lingfei Li , Gongqiu Zhang

In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity expansion of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Martin Forde , Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

We establish a quantitative version of the classical Halmos-Savage Theorem for convex, potentially non-dominated sets of probability measures and its dual counterpart, generalizing previous quantitative versions. These results are then used…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Christa Cuchiero , Irene Klein , Georg Köstenberger , Thorsten Schmidt