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Related papers: Bayesian Changepoint Estimation for Spatially Inde…

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In this paper, we consider the problem of (multiple) change-point detection in panel data. We propose the double CUSUM statistic which utilises the cross-sectional change-point structure by examining the cumulative sums of ordered CUSUMs at…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Zifeng Zhao , Xiaokai Luo , Zongge Liu , Daren Wang

For sequentially observed functional data exhibiting multiple change points in the mean function, we establish consistency results for the estimated number and locations of the change points based on the norm of the functional CUSUM process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Gregory Rice , Chi Zhang

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We study a CUSUM (cumulative sums) procedure for the detection of changes in the means of weakly dependent time series within an abstract Hilbert space framework. We use an empirical projection approach via a principal component…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Leonid Torgovitski

We present a Bayesian method for multivariate changepoint detection that allows for simultaneous inference on the location of a changepoint and the coefficients of a logistic regression model for distinguishing pre-changepoint data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch , David S. Matteson

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

We propose the Multiple Changepoint Isolation (MCI) method for detecting multiple changes in the mean and covariance of a functional process. We first introduce a pair of projections to represent the variability "between" and "within" the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , James Derek Tucker

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

Change point tests for abrupt changes in the mean of functional data, i.e., random elements in infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces, are either based on dimension reduction techniques, e.g., based on principal components, or directly based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Claudia Kirch , Hedvika Ranošová , Martin Wendler

We propose a new method for changepoint estimation in partially-observed, high-dimensional time series that undergo a simultaneous change in mean in a sparse subset of coordinates. Our first methodological contribution is to introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Bertille Follain , Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

In this paper we consider a network of spatially distributed sensors which collect measurement samples of a spatial field, and aim at estimating in a distributed way (without any central coordinator) the entire field by suitably fusing all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Francesco Sasso , Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

We study online changepoint detection in the context of a linear regression model. We propose a class of heavily weighted statistics based on the CUSUM process of the regression residuals, which are specifically designed to ensure timely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Fabrizio Ghezzi , Eduardo Rossi , Lorenzo Trapani

This paper applies the functional sieve bootstrap (FSB) to estimate the distribution of the partial sum process for time series stemming from a weakly stationary functional process. Consistency of the FSB procedure under weak assumptions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

We study the parametric online changepoint detection problem, where the underlying distribution of the streaming data changes from a known distribution to an alternative that is of a known parametric form but with unknown parameters. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Liyan Xie , George V. Moustakides , Yao Xie

Many experiments record sequential trajectories where each trajectory consists of oscillations and fluctuations around zero. Such trajectories can be viewed as zero-mean functional data. When there are structural breaks (on the sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Shuhao Jiao , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca