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System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Defenses against security threats have been an interest of recent studies. Recent works have shown that it is not difficult to attack a natural language processing (NLP) model while defending against them is still a cat-mouse game. Backdoor…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Sangeet Sagar , Abhinav Bhatt , Abhijith Srinivas Bidaralli

In this paper we explore cyber security defence, through the unification of a novel cyber security simulator with models for (causal) decision-making through optimisation. Particular attention is paid to a recently published approach:…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Alex Andrew , Sam Spillard , Joshua Collyer , Neil Dhir

With the rapid development of Internet and the sharp increase of network crime, network security has become very important and received a lot of attention. We model security issues as stochastic systems. This allows us to find weaknesses in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Lu Yu , Richard R. Brooks

In recent years, machine learning models, especially deep neural networks, have been widely used for classification tasks in the security domain. However, these models have been shown to be vulnerable to adversarial manipulation: small…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Dong Qin , George Amariucai , Daji Qiao , Yong Guan

Recently, there has been a number of papers relating mechanism design and privacy (e.g., see \cite{MT07,Xia11,CCKMV11,NST12,NOS12,HK12}). All of these papers consider a worst-case setting where there is no probabilistic information about…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-25 Samantha Leung , Edward Lui

Cyber deception allows compensating the late response of defenders countermeasures to the ever evolving tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs) of attackers. This proactive defense strategy employs decoys resembling legitimate system…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Marco Zambianco , Claudio Facchinetti , Domenico Siracusa

Normative decision theory proves inadequate for modeling human responses to the social-engineering campaigns of Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) attacks. Behavioral decision theory fares better, but still falls short of capturing…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Iain Embrey , Kim Kaivanto

In this article, we propose a novel pessimism-based Bayesian learning method for optimal dynamic treatment regimes in the offline setting. When the coverage condition does not hold, which is common for offline data, the existing solutions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-23 Yunzhe Zhou , Zhengling Qi , Chengchun Shi , Lexin Li

In this paper, we consider an adversarial scenario where one agent seeks to achieve an objective and its adversary seeks to learn the agent's intentions and prevent the agent from achieving its objective. The agent has an incentive to try…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Melkior Ornik , Ufuk Topcu

This paper studies the attack detection problem in a data-driven and model-free setting, for deterministic systems with linear and time-invariant dynamics. Differently from existing studies that leverage knowledge of the system dynamics to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-19 Vishaal Krishnan , Fabio Pasqualetti

Dynamic and evolving operational and economic environments present significant challenges for decision-making. We explore a simulation optimization problem characterized by non-stationary input distributions with regime-switching dynamics…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Jianglin Xia , Haowei Wang , Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng

Bayesian inference is an important technique throughout statistics. The essence of Beyesian inference is to derive the posterior belief updated from prior belief by the learned information, which is a set of differentially private answers…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-11-12 Yonghui Xiao , Li Xiong

Dynamic decision-making under model uncertainty is central to many economic environments, yet existing bandit and reinforcement learning algorithms rely on the assumption of correct model specification. This paper studies the behavior and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-20 Xinyu Dai , Daniel Chen , Yian Qian

With the increasing sophistication of attacks on cyber-physical systems, deception has emerged as an effective tool to improve system security and safety by obfuscating the attacker's perception. In this paper, we present a solution to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Abhishek N. Kulkarni , Huan Luo , Nandi O. Leslie , Charles A. Kamhoua , Jie Fu

In many cases, neural networks perform well on test data, but tend to overestimate their confidence on out-of-distribution data. This has led to adoption of Bayesian neural networks, which better capture uncertainty and therefore more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Erick Galinkin

In this paper, the resilient control for switched systems in the presence of deception attack and denial-of-service (DoS) attack is addressed. Due to the interaction of two kinds of attacks and the asynchronous phenomenon of controller mode…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-13 Rui Zhao , Zhiqiang Zuo , Ying Tan , Yijing Wang , Wentao Zhang

There is an increasing interest in analyzing the behavior of machine learning systems against adversarial attacks. However, most of the research in adversarial machine learning has focused on studying weaknesses against evasion or poisoning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-12 Pablo G. Arce , Roi Naveiro , David Ríos Insua

Most human behaviors consist of multiple parts, steps, or subtasks. These structures guide our action planning and execution, but when we observe others, the latent structure of their actions is typically unobservable, and must be inferred…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-28 Ryo Nakahashi , Chris L. Baker , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

Attention-based neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art results on a wide range of tasks. Most such models use deterministic attention while stochastic attention is less explored due to the optimization difficulties or complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Shujian Zhang , Xinjie Fan , Bo Chen , Mingyuan Zhou
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