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Related papers: Can bus bunching reduce waiting time?

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In this paper, we propose an Empirically-based Monte Carlo Bus-network (EMB) model as a test bed to simulate intervention strategies to overcome the inefficiencies of bus bunching. The EMB model is an agent-based model which utilizes the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 Wei Liang Quek , Ning Ning Chung , Vee-Liem Saw , Lock Yue Chew

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

Suppose that you're going to school and arrive at a bus stop. How long do you have to wait before the next bus arrives? Surprisingly, it is longer - possibly much longer - than what the bus schedule suggests intuitively. This phenomenon,…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2020-09-24 Naoki Masuda , Mason A. Porter

We unveil that a previously-unreported vicious cycle can be created when bus queues form at curbside stops along a corridor. Buses caught in this cycle exhibit growing variation in headways as they travel from stop to stop. Bus (and patron)…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-14 Minyu Shen , Weihua Gu , Michael J. Cassidy , Yongjie Lin , Wei Ni

In intelligent transportation systems (ITS), adaptive transit signal priority (TSP) and dynamic bus control systems have been independently developed to maintain efficient and reliable urban bus services. However, those two systems could…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Shurui Guan , Keqiang Li , Haoyu Yang , Yihe Chen , Hanxiao Ren , Yugong Luo

An analysis of the characteristics and behavior of individual bus stops can reveal clusters of similar stops, which can be of use in making routing and scheduling decisions, as well as determining what facilities to provide at each stop.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-15 Laura L. Tupper , David S. Matteson , John C. Handley

A new public conveyance model applicable to buses and trains is proposed in this paper by using stochastic cellular automaton. We have found the optimal density of vehicles, at which the average velocity becomes maximum, significantly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-19 A. Tomoeda , K. Nishinari , D. Chowdhury , A. Schadschneider

Inspired by our recent work that relates bus bunching as a phenomenon of synchronisation of phase oscillators, we construct a model of Kuramoto oscillators that follows an analogous interaction mechanism of local unidirectional coupling. In…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-12-16 Lock Yue Chew , Vee-Liem Saw , Yi En Ian Pang

Autonomous mobility-on-demand (AMoD) systems, centrally coordinated fleets of self-driving vehicles, offer a promising alternative to traditional ride-hailing by improving traffic flow and reducing operating costs. Centralized control in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Antonio Coppola , Gerhard Hiermann , Dario Paccagnan , Michel Gendreau , Maximilian Schiffer

We study randomized experiments in a service system when stochastic congestion can arise from temporarily limited supply or excess demand. Such congestion gives rise to cross-unit interference between the waiting customers, and analytic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Shuangning Li , Ramesh Johari , Xu Kuang , Stefan Wager

Rising electricity demand and the growing integration of renewables are intensifying congestion in transmission grids. Grid topology optimization through busbar splitting (BuS) and optimal transmission switching can alleviate grid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Giacomo Bastianel , Dirk Van Hertem , Hakan Ergun , Line Roald

If a bus line becomes unstable, passengers waiting time will be lengthened and buses capacities will be mismatched. To stabilize a high-frequency bus line, many holding strategies have been proposed. Among these strategies, some need to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 Shengxue He

This mathematical recreation extends the analysis of a recent paper, asking when a traveller at a bus stop and not knowing the time of the next bus is best advised to wait or to start walking toward the destination. A detailed analysis and…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Anthony B. Morton

This study aims to propose an approach for spatiotemporal integration of bus transit, which enables users to change bus lines by paying a single fare. This could increase bus transit efficiency and, consequently, help to make this mode of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Júlio Borges , Altieris M. Peixoto , Thiago H. Silva , Anelise Munaretto , Ricardo Luders

Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

We study how $N$ intelligent buses serving a loop of $M$ bus stops learn a \emph{no-boarding strategy} and a \emph{holding strategy} by reinforcement learning. The high level no-boarding and holding strategies emerge from the low level…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Vee-Liem Saw , Luca Vismara , Lock Yue Chew

Public transportation systems often suffer from unexpected fluctuations in demand and disruptions, such as mechanical failures and medical emergencies. These fluctuations and disruptions lead to delays and overcrowding, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Chaeeun Han , Jose Paolo Talusan , Dan Freudberg , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Abhishek Dubey , Aron Laszka

Buses are known to be an unstable system, and as a result they struggle to stay on schedule and/or to maintain regular headways. In current practice, transit agencies add significant slack to the schedule and hold buses until their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Paul Anderson , Carlos F. Daganzo

Recent work in decentralized, schedule-driven traffic control has demonstrated the ability to significantly improve traffic flow efficiency in complex urban road networks. However, in situations where vehicle volumes increase to the point…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Hsu-Chieh Hu , Stephen F. Smith

We study tram priority at signalized intersections using a stochastic cellular automaton model for multimodal traffic flow. We simulate realistic traffic signal systems, which include signal linking and adaptive cycle lengths and split…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2013-11-15 Lele Zhang , Timothy Garoni