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Understanding the nuanced performance of machine learning models is essential for responsible deployment, especially in high-stakes domains like healthcare and finance. This paper introduces a novel framework, Conformalized Exceptional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Xin Du , Sikun Yang , Wouter Duivesteijn , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Multivariate linear regression is a fundamental statistical task, but classical estimators such as ordinary least squares are highly sensitive to outliers. These may occur as casewise outliers that affect entire observations, or as outlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Multivariate location and scatter matrix estimation is a cornerstone in multivariate data analysis. We consider this problem when the data may contain independent cellwise and casewise outliers. Flat data sets with a large number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Andy Leung , Victor J. Yohai , Ruben H. Zamar

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Datasets typically contain inaccuracies due to human error and societal biases, and these inaccuracies can affect the outcomes of models trained on such datasets. We present a technique for certifying whether linear regression models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Anna P. Meyer , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

We review distributionally robust optimization (DRO), a principled approach for constructing statistical estimators that hedge against the impact of deviations in the expected loss between the training and deployment environments. Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jose Blanchet , Jiajin Li , Sirui Lin , Xuhui Zhang

Regression evaluation has been performed for decades. Some metrics have been identified to be robust against shifting and scaling of the data but considering the different distributions of data is much more difficult to address (imbalance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Mario Michael Krell , Bilal Wehbe

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

We advocate for a new statistical principle that combines the most desirable aspects of both parameter inference and density estimation. This leads us to the predictively oriented (PrO) posterior, which expresses uncertainty as a…

Robust Ordinal Regression (ROR) is a way of dealing with Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding (MCDA), by considering all sets of parameters of an assumed preference model, that are compatible with preference information given by the Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-06-28 Salvatore Corrente , Salvatore Greco , Roman Slowinski

This work demonstrates that applying a fixed-effect multiple linear regression (MLR) model to an overparameterized dataset is mathematically equivalent to fitting a hyper-curve parameterized by a single scalar. This reformulation shifts the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 E. Atza , N. Budko

Estimating how well a machine learning model performs during inference is critical in a variety of scenarios (for example, to quantify uncertainty, or to choose from a library of available models). However, the standard accuracy estimate of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Xuechen Zhang , Samet Oymak , Jiasi Chen

In next-generation communications and networks, machine learning (ML) models are expected to deliver not only accurate predictions but also well-calibrated confidence scores that reflect the true likelihood of correct decisions. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Rashika Raina , Nidhi Simmons , David E. Simmons , Michel Daoud Yacoub , Trung Q. Duong

We propose a novel sensitivity analysis framework for linear estimators with identification failures that can be viewed as seeing the wrong outcome distribution. Our approach measures the degree of identification failure through the change…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-30 Jacob Dorn , Luther Yap

This paper is dedicated to a robust ordinal method for learning the preferences of a decision maker between subsets. The decision model, derived from Fishburn and LaValle (1996) and whose parameters we learn, is general enough to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Hugo Gilbert , Mohamed Ouaguenouni , Meltem Ozturk , Olivier Spanjaard

Likelihood-based inferences have been remarkably successful in wide-spanning application areas. However, even after due diligence in selecting a good model for the data at hand, there is inevitably some amount of model misspecification:…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Miheer Dewaskar , Christopher Tosh , Jeremias Knoblauch , David B. Dunson

We study adversarial perturbations when the instances are uniformly distributed over $\{0,1\}^n$. We study both "inherent" bounds that apply to any problem and any classifier for such a problem as well as bounds that apply to specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Dimitrios I. Diochnos , Saeed Mahloujifar , Mohammad Mahmoody

Missing data is an universal problem in statistics. We develop a unified framework for estimating parameters defined by general estimating equations under a missing-at-random (MAR) mechanism, based on generalized entropy calibration…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Mst Moushumi Pervin , Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim

In many applications, when building linear regression models, it is important to account for the presence of outliers, i.e., corrupted input data points. Such problems can be formulated as mixed-integer optimization problems involving cubic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Andrés Gómez , José Neto

We collect robust proposals given in the field of regression models with heteroscedastic errors. Our motivation stems from the fact that the practitioner frequently faces the confluence of two phenomena in the context of data analysis:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Conceição Amado , Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Isabel M. Rodrigues