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From simulating galaxy formation to viral transmission in a pandemic, scientific models play a pivotal role in developing scientific theories and supporting government policy decisions that affect us all. Given these critical applications,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Andrew G. Clark , Michael Foster , Benedikt Prifling , Neil Walkinshaw , Robert M. Hierons , Volker Schmidt , Robert D. Turner

The fundamental challenge of drawing causal inference is that counterfactual outcomes are not fully observed for any unit. Furthermore, in observational studies, treatment assignment is likely to be confounded. Many statistical methods have…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-01 Harsh Parikh , Carlos Varjao , Louise Xu , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Learning the dynamic causal structure of time series is a challenging problem. Most existing approaches rely on distributional or structural invariance to uncover underlying causal dynamics, assuming stationary or partially stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Dezhi Yang , Qiaoyu Tan , Carlotta Domeniconi , Jun Wang , Lizhen Cui , Guoxian Yu

Deep learning has revolutionized the field of artificial intelligence. Based on the statistical correlations uncovered by deep learning-based methods, computer vision has contributed to tremendous growth in areas like autonomous driving and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Kexuan Zhang , Qiyu Sun , Chaoqiang Zhao , Yang Tang

We primarily focus on the field of multi-scenario recommendation, which poses a significant challenge in effectively leveraging data from different scenarios to enhance predictions in scenarios with limited data. Current mainstream efforts…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Jiachen Zhu , Yichao Wang , Jianghao Lin , Jiarui Qin , Ruiming Tang , Weinan Zhang , Yong Yu

Uncovering causal relationships is a fundamental problem across science and engineering. However, most existing causal discovery methods assume acyclicity and direct access to the system variables -- assumptions that fail to hold in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Muralikrishnna G. Sethuraman , Faramarz Fekri

Accurate prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) for complex industrial machinery is critical for the reliability and maintenance of mechatronic systems, but it is challenged by high-dimensional, noisy sensor data. We propose the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Yan Chen , Cheng Liu

Causal models seek to unravel the cause-effect relationships among variables from observed data, as opposed to mere mappings among them, as traditional regression models do. This paper introduces a novel causal discovery algorithm designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Saeed Mohseni-Sehdeh , Walid Saad

Robot data collected in complex real-world scenarios are often biased due to safety concerns, human preferences, and mission or platform constraints. Consequently, robot learning from such observational data poses great challenges for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Junhong Xu , Kai Yin , Jason M. Gregory , Lantao Liu

Mathematical models are fundamental building blocks in the design of dynamical control systems. As control systems are becoming increasingly complex and networked, approaches for obtaining such models based on first principles reach their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Dominik Baumann , Friedrich Solowjow , Karl H. Johansson , Sebastian Trimpe

This paper focuses on causal structure estimation from time series data in which measurements are obtained at a coarser timescale than the causal timescale of the underlying system. Previous work has shown that such subsampling can lead to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Antti Hyttinen , Sergey Plis , Matti Järvisalo , Frederick Eberhardt , David Danks

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

Trajectory anomaly detection, aiming to estimate the anomaly risk of trajectories given the Source-Destination (SD) pairs, has become a critical problem for many real-world applications. Existing solutions directly train a generative model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Wenbin Li , Di Yao , Chang Gong , Xiaokai Chu , Quanliang Jing , Xiaolei Zhou , Yuxuan Zhang , Yunxia Fan , Jingping Bi

Generating simulations to train intelligent agents in game-playing and robotics from natural language input, from user input or task documentation, remains an open-ended challenge. Existing approaches focus on parts of this challenge, such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Fan-Yun Sun , S. I. Harini , Angela Yi , Yihan Zhou , Alex Zook , Jonathan Tremblay , Logan Cross , Jiajun Wu , Nick Haber

Causal discovery aims to automatically uncover causal relationships from data, a capability with significant potential across many scientific disciplines. However, its real-world applications remain limited. Current methods often rely on…

Despite recent successes of reinforcement learning (RL), it remains a challenge for agents to transfer learned skills to related environments. To facilitate research addressing this problem, we propose CausalWorld, a benchmark for causal…

Process discovery algorithms automatically extract process models from event logs, but high variability often results in complex and hard-to-understand models. To mitigate this issue, trace clustering techniques group process executions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

Root cause analysis (RCA) in complex systems is challenging due to error propagation across multiple variables, the need for structural causal knowledge, and the computational cost of inference at test time. We introduce PRIM (Prior-fitted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Christopher Lohse , Anish Dhir , Amadou Ba , Bradley Eck , Marco Ruffini , Jonas Wahl

We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza
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