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Human decision making can be challenging to predict because decisions are affected by a number of complex factors. Adding to this complexity, decision-making processes can differ considerably between individuals, and methods aimed at…

To make progress in science, we often build abstract representations of physical systems that meaningfully encode information about the systems. The representations learnt by most current machine learning techniques reflect statistical…

This work examines a social learning problem, where dispersed agents connected through a network topology interact locally to form their opinions (beliefs) as regards certain hypotheses of interest. These opinions evolve over time, since…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-26 Michele Cirillo , Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

In the mammalian brain newly acquired memories depend on the hippocampus for maintenance and recall, but over time these functions are taken over by the neocortex through a process called systems consolidation. However, reactivation of a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-29 Peter Helfer , Thomas R. Shultz

The concept of time mostly plays a subordinate role in finance and economics. The assumption is that time flows continuously and that time series data should be analyzed at regular, equidistant intervals. Nonetheless, already nearly 60…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-12 James B. Glattfelder , Richard B. Olsen

It is widely accepted that there is strong persistence in the volatility of financial time series. The origin of the observed persistence, or long-range memory, is still an open problem as the observed phenomenon could be a spurious effect.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-24 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

We consider learning from labeled data collected across multiple environments, where the data distribution may vary across these environments. This problem is commonly approached from a causal perspective, seeking invariant representations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

In the face of the upcoming 30th anniversary of econophysics, we review our contributions and other related works on the modeling of the long-range memory phenomenon in physical, economic, and other social complex systems. Our group has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-31 Rytis Kazakevicius , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Bronislovas Kaulakys , Vygintas Gontis

We consider a continuous-space and continuous-time diffusion process under resetting with memory. A particle resets to a position chosen from its trajectory in the past according to a memory kernel. Depending on the form of the memory…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-29 Denis Boyer , Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

Trust is central to human social interactions, manifesting in actions that make one vulnerable to another. We argue that trust will thus depend on the decision-making processes that arise in neural systems. Building on advances in the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-23 Scott E. Allen , René F. Kizilcec , A. David Redish

In this chapter we review stochastic modelling methods in climate science. First we provide a conceptual framework for stochastic modelling of deterministic dynamical systems based on the Mori-Zwanzig formalism. The Mori-Zwanzig equations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Daan T. Crommelin , Christian L. E. Franzke

In this report we review memory-based meta-learning as a tool for building sample-efficient strategies that learn from past experience to adapt to any task within a target class. Our goal is to equip the reader with the conceptual…

Moral Foundation Theory states that groups of different observers may rely on partially dissimilar sets of moral foundations, thereby reaching different moral valuations. The use of functional imaging techniques has revealed a spectrum of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-22 Nestor Caticha , Renato Vicente

When we experience an event, it feels like our previous experiences, our interpretations of that event (e.g., aesthetics, emotions), and our current state will determine how we will remember it. However, recent work has revealed a strong…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-15 Wilma A. Bainbridge

Experience-driven learning has emerged as a promising paradigm for enabling agents to improve from interaction trajectories by accumulating and reusing past experience. However, existing approaches are predominantly developed in textual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Xingyu Sui , Weixiang Zhao , Yongxin Tang , Yanyan Zhao , Yang Wu , Dandan Tu , Bing Qin

The ability to form memories is a basic feature of learning and accumulating knowledge. But where is memory information stored in the brain? Within the scientific research community, it is generally believed that memory information is…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-28 Jie Zhang

We apply recent advances in deep generative modeling to the task of imitation learning from biological agents. Specifically, we apply variations of the variational recurrent neural network model to a multi-agent setting where we learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Michael Teng , Tuan Anh Le , Adam Scibior , Frank Wood

Recurrent neural network is a powerful model that learns temporal patterns in sequential data. For a long time, it was believed that recurrent networks are difficult to train using simple optimizers, such as stochastic gradient descent, due…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Tomas Mikolov , Armand Joulin , Sumit Chopra , Michael Mathieu , Marc'Aurelio Ranzato

New knowledge originates from the old. The various types of elements, deposited in the training history, are a large amount of wealth for improving learning deep models. In this survey, we comprehensively review and summarize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Xiang Li , Ge Wu , Lingfeng Yang , Wenhai Wang , Renjie Song , Jian Yang
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