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Electricity generation from burning fossil fuels is one of the major contributors to global warming. Renewable energy sources are a viable alternative to produce electrical energy and to reduce the emission from the power industry. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Md Amimul Ehsan

It is expected, and regionally observed, that energy demand will soon be covered by a widespread deployment of renewable energy sources. However, the weather and climate driven energy sources are characterized by a significant spatial and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-20 J. Jurasz , F. A. Canales , A. Kies , M. Guezgouz , A. Beluco

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

The energy transition is reshaping electricity systems, bringing new challenges, and emphasizing the need for strategic planning. Energy policies play a crucial role in guiding this transition. However, assessing their impacts often…

In this paper we study the impact of errors in wind and solar power forecasts on intraday electricity prices. We develop a novel econometric model which is based on day-ahead wholesale auction curves data and errors in wind and solar power…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-24 Sergei Kulakov , Florian Ziel

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

As variable renewable energy sources increasingly gain importance in global energy systems, there is a growing interest in understanding periods of variable renewable energy shortage ("Dunkelflauten"). Defining, quantifying, and comparing…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Martin Kittel , Wolf-Peter Schill

Accurate event-based modeling of electric vehicle (EV) charging is essential for grid reliability and smart-charging design. While traditional statistical methods capture marginal distributions, they often fail to model the complex,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Martin Výboh , Gabriela Grmanová

The emergence of distributed generation and the electrification of demand have opened the possibility for prosumers to participate in electricity markets, receiving economic benefits on their bills and contributing to the reduction of…

As the share of renewable energy sources in the present electric energy mix rises, their intermittence proves to be the biggest challenge to carbon free electricity generation. To address this challenge, we propose an electricity pricing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-11 Filip Tolovski

The resource quality and the temporal generation pattern of variable renewable energy sources vary significantly across Europe. In this paper spatial distributions of renewable assets are explored which exploit this heterogeneity to lower…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-05 Emil H. Eriksen , Leon J. Schwenk-Nebbe , Bo Tranberg , Tom Brown , Martin Greiner

Power grids are moving towards 100% renewable energy source bulk power grids, and the overall dynamics of power system operations and electricity markets are changing. The electricity markets are not only dispatching resources economically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Milan Jain , Xueqing Sun , Sohom Datta , Abhishek Somani

To meet carbon emission targets, governments around the world seek electricity consumers to invest in self-sufficiency technologies such as solar photovoltaic and battery storage. Such behaviour is sought in markets typically characterised…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-28 M. T. Devine , V. Bertsch

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

At present, electricity markets largely ignore the fact that renewable power producers impose significant externalities on non-renewable energy producers. This is because consumers are generally guaranteed electricity within certain load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Ashkan Zeinalzadeh , Indraneel Chakraborty , Vijay Gupta

Recently, the volatility associated with marginal prices has increased due to large scale integration of renewable generation. Price volatility is undesirable from a consumer perspective. To address this issue, we present a framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Shantanu Chakraborty , Kyri Baker , Milos Cvetkovic , Remco Verzijlbergh , Zofia Lukszo

This study employs the Causal Machine Learning (CausalML) statistical method to analyze the influence of electricity pricing policies on carbon dioxide (CO2) levels in the household sector. Investigating the causality between potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Iman Emtiazi Naeini , Zahra Saberi , Khadijeh Hassanzadeh

Natural gas supplies in Europe were disrupted and energy prices soared in the context of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Electricity prices in France experienced the largest relative increase among European countries, even though natural gas…

Potential analyses identify possible locations for renewable energy installations, such as as wind turbines and photovoltaic arrays. The results of previous potential studies, however, are not consistent due to different assumptions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Stanley Risch , Rachel Maier , Junsong Du , Noah Pflugradt , Peter Stenzel , Leander Kotzur , Detlef Stolten