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Here, we address the problem of trend estimation for functional time series. Existing contributions either deal with detecting a functional trend or assuming a simple model. They consider neither the estimation of a general functional trend…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

We present a new algorithm for clustering longitudinal data. Data of this type can be conceptualized as consisting of individuals and, for each such individual, observations of a time-dependent variable made at various times. Generically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Marie-Pierre Sylvestre , Laurence Boulanger

Fixed effects models are very flexible because they do not make assumptions on the distribution of effects and can also be used if the heterogeneity component is correlated with explanatory variables. A disadvantage is the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-17 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

Spectral clustering has emerged as one of the most effective clustering algorithms due to its superior performance. However, most existing models are designed for centralized settings, rendering them inapplicable in modern decentralized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Suyan Dai , Gan Sun , Fazeng Li , Xu Tang , Qianqian Wang , Yang Cong

The problem of complex data analysis is a central topic of modern statistical science and learning systems and is becoming of broader interest with the increasing prevalence of high-dimensional data. The challenge is to develop statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Faicel Chamroukhi , Hien D. Nguyen

In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

In this work a robust clustering algorithm for stationary time series is proposed. The algorithm is based on the use of estimated spectral densities, which are considered as functional data, as the basic characteristic of stationary time…

We propose a new method for clustering multivariate time-series data based on Dynamic Linear Models. Whereas usual time-series clustering methods obtain static membership parameters, our proposal allows each time-series to dynamically…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Victhor S. Sartório , Thaís C. O. Fonseca

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely used in various fields. Reasonable prediction results can assist people in planning and decision-making, generate benefits and avoid risks. Normally, there are two characteristics of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Yifu Zhou , Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren , Yueyang Wang , Xiaoqian Wang

This paper introduces a novel mixture model-based approach for simultaneous clustering and optimal segmentation of functional data which are curves presenting regime changes. The proposed model consists in a finite mixture of piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-02 Faicel Chamroukhi

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are proven to be effective when data are homogeneous such as images, or when there is a relationship between consecutive data such as time series data. Although CNNs are not famous for tabular data, we…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-04 Marjan Qazvini

Sequence analysis is an increasingly popular approach for analysing life courses represented by ordered collections of activities experienced by subjects over time. Here, we analyse a survey data set containing information on the career…

The data mining technique of time series clustering is well established in many fields. However, as an unsupervised learning method, it requires making choices that are nontrivially influenced by the nature of the data involved. The aim of…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-19 Iwo Augustyński , Paweł Laskoś-Grabowski

The clustering for functional data with misaligned problems has drawn much attention in the last decade. Most methods do the clustering after those functional data being registered and there has been little research using both functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Pengcheng Zeng , Jian Qing Shi , Won-Seok Kim

We propose a model-based clustering algorithm for a general class of functional data for which the components could be curves or images. The random functional data realizations could be measured with error at discrete, and possibly random,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-14 Steven Golovkine , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Valentin Patilea

We propose a new unsupervised learning method for clustering a large number of time series based on a latent factor structure. Each cluster is characterized by its own cluster-specific factors in addition to some common factors which impact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Bo Zhang , Guangming Pan , Qiwei Yao , Wang Zhou

We propose a three-stage framework for forecasting high-dimensional time-series data. Our method first estimates parameters for each univariate time series. Next, we use these parameters to cluster the time series. These clusters can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Nikhil Rao , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael I. Jordan , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Multivariate time series data come as a collection of time series describing different aspects of a certain temporal phenomenon. Anomaly detection in this type of data constitutes a challenging problem yet with numerous applications in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Jinbo Li , Hesam Izakian , Witold Pedrycz , Iqbal Jamal

In the field of psychopathology, Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) methodological advancements have offered new opportunities to collect time-intensive, repeated and intra-individual measurements. This way, a large amount of data has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Mandani Ntekouli , Gerasimos Spanakis , Lourens Waldorp , Anne Roefs

Clustering analysis of daily load profiles represents an effective technique to classify and aggregate electric users based on their actual consumption patterns. Among other purposes, it may be exploited as a preliminary stage for load…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Francesca Soldan , Alberto Maldarella , Gabriele Paludetto , Enea Bionda , Federico Belloni , Samuele Grillo