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This paper has a twofold contribution. The first is a data driven approach for predicting the Covid 19 pandemic dynamics, based on data from more advanced countries. The second is to report and discuss the results obtained with this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-28 Igor G. Pereira , Joris M. Guerin , Andouglas G. Silva Junior , Cosimo Distante , Gabriel S. Garcia , Luiz M. G. Gonçalves

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, with its impact varying significantly across different geographic and socioeconomic contexts. This study employs a clustering analysis to examine the diversity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Morteza Maleki

Anticipating the quantity of new associated or affirmed cases with novel coronavirus ailment 2019 (COVID-19) is critical in the counteraction and control of the COVID-19 flare-up. The new associated cases with COVID-19 information were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Tushar Sarkar , Umang Patel , Rupali Patil

Justifying draconian measures during the Covid-19 pandemic was difficult not only because of the restriction of individual rights, but also because of its economic impact. The objective of this work is to present a machine learning approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Santiago Cortes , Yullys M. Quintero

We present a timely and novel methodology that combines disease estimates from mechanistic models with digital traces, via interpretable machine-learning methodologies, to reliably forecast COVID-19 activity in Chinese provinces in…

The global COVID-19 pandemic (SARS-CoV-2 virus) is the defining health crisis of our century. Due to the absence of vaccines and drugs that can help to fight it, the world solution to control the spread has been to consider public social…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-22 Marcelo Menezes Morato , Saulo Benchimol Bastos , Daniel Oliveira Cajueiro , Julio Elias Normey-Rico

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

The estimate of the remaining time of an ongoing wave of epidemic spreading is a critical issue. Due to the variations of a wide range of parameters in an epidemic, for simple models such as Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, it is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-12 Anvesh Reddy , Hanesh Koganti , Sai Krishna , Suhas Reddy , Soumyajyoti Biswas

We model and forecast the early evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil using Brazilian recent data from February 25, 2020 to March 30, 2020. This early period accounts for unawareness of the epidemiological characteristics of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-16 Saulo B. Bastos , Daniel O. Cajueiro

Europe was hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic and Portugal was one of the most affected countries, having suffered three waves in the first twelve months. Approximately between Jan 19th and Feb 5th 2021 Portugal was the country in the world…

SARS-COV-19 is the most prominent issue which many countries face today. The frequent changes in infections, recovered and deaths represents the dynamic nature of this pandemic. It is very crucial to predict the spreading rate of this virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-01 Sadhana Tiwari , Ritesh Chandra , Sonali Agarwal

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

The spread of COVID-19 during the initial phase of the first half of 2020 was curtailed to a larger or lesser extent through measures of social distancing imposed by most countries. In this work, we link directly, through machine learning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-20 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 or the COVID-19 pandemic has swept almost all parts of the world since the first case was found in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. With the increasing number of COVID-19 cases in the world, SARS-CoV-2 has…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Akhmad Dimitri Baihaqi , Novanto Yudistira , Edy Santoso

The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow knowing the number of future cases. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-27 Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro , Ramon Gomes da Silva , Viviana Cocco Mariani , Leandro dos Santos Coelho

In recent years, several research articles have been published in the field of corona-virus caused diseases like severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), middle east respiratory syndrome (MERS) and COVID-19. In the presence of numerous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Sanjay Kumar Sonbhadra , Sonali Agarwal , P. Nagabhushan

COVID-19 was first discovered in December 2019 and has continued to rapidly spread across countries worldwide infecting thousands and millions of people. The virus is deadly, and people who are suffering from prior illnesses or are older…

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries opted for strict public health measures, including closing schools. They have now started relaxing some of those restrictions. To avoid overwhelming health systems, predictions for the number of…

The goal of this work is to analyse the effects of control policies for the coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic in Brazil. This is done by considering an age-structured SEIR model with a quarantine class and two types of controls. The first one…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-08 César Castilho , João A. M. Gondim , Marcelo Marchesin , Mehran Sabeti