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The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We study the almost surely finite random variable $S$ defined by the distributional fixed-point equation \[ S \stackrel{d}{=} 1 + \max\{US', (1-U)S''\}, \qquad U \sim \mathrm{Unif}(0,1), \] where $S'$ and $S''$ are independent copies of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Witold Płecha

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

This paper investigates L\'evy walks with random velocities, extending classical models beyond constant speed assumptions. We derive scaling limits, demonstrating that diffusion depends on interplay between heavy-tailed duration and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Hubert Woszczek , Marek A. Teuerle , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

When a spatial process is recorded over time and the observation at a given time instant is viewed as a point in a function space, the result is a time series taking values in a Banach space. To study the spatio-temporal extremal dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Thomas Meinguet , Johan Segers

Classes of multivariate and cone valued infinitely divisible Gamma distributions are introduced. Particular emphasis is put on the cone-valued case, due to the relevance of infinitely divisible distributions on the positive semi-definite…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Victor Pérez-Abreu , Robert Stelzer

Using a very simple argument based on the indepenence of increments and the fact that in a finite dimensional space $R^{d}$ there are not too many directions, we derive a theorem stating that exit time of any (non-constant) L\'{e}vy process…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Rafał Marcin Łochowski

In this paper we present some limit theorems for power variation of L\'evy semi-stationary processes in the setting of infill asymptotics. L\'evy semi-stationary processes, which are a one-dimensional analogue of ambit fields, are moving…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Claudio Heinrich , Mark Podolskij

Inference over tails is usually performed by fitting an appropriate limiting distribution over observations that exceed a fixed threshold. However, the choice of such threshold is critical and can affect the inferential results. Extreme…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-26 Chiara Lattanzi , Manuele Leonelli

We consider a last progeny modified branching random walk, in which the position of each particle at the last generation $n$ is modified by an i.i.d. copy of a random variable $Y$. Depending on the asymptotic properties of the tail of $Y$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Partha Pratim Ghosh , Bastien Mallein

The Extremal Index is a parameter that measures the intensity of clustering of rare events and is usually equal to the reciprocal of the mean of the limiting cluster size distribution. We show how to build dynamically generated stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Miguel Abadi , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas

We introduce L\'evy-driven causal CARMA random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$, extending the class of CARMA processes. The definition is based on a system of stochastic partial differential equations which generalize the classical state-space…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Viet Son Pham

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major

This work deals with the estimation of the extreme value index and extreme quantiles for heavy tailed data,randomly right truncated by another heavy tailed variable. Under mild assumptions and the condition thatthe truncated variable is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-16 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

Given a general critical or sub-critical branching mechanism, we define a pruning procedure of the associated L\'evy continuum random tree. This pruning procedure is defined by adding some marks on the tree, using L\'evy snake techniques.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-27 Romain Abraham , Jean-Francois Delmas , Guillaume Voisin

Two methods to approximate infinitely divisible random fields are presented. The methods are based on approximating the kernel function in the spectral representation of such fields, leading to numerical integration of the respective…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-15 Wolfgang Karcher , Hans-Peter Scheffler , Evgeny Spodarev

Rayleigh-Levy flights have played a significant role in cosmology as simplified models for understanding how matter distributes itself under gravitational influence. These models also exhibit numerous remarkable properties that enable the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-27 Francis Bernardeau , Christophe Pichon

We consider stationary sequences whose marginal tail is subexponential and lies in the Gumbel Maximum domain of attraction. Due to the extremely strong dependence, their extreme values are caused by multiple big values and are clustered in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Zao-Li Chen

Causal inference for extreme events has many potential applications in fields such as climate science, medicine and economics. We study the extremal quantile treatment effect of a binary treatment on a continuous, heavy-tailed outcome.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 David Deuber , Jinzhou Li , Sebastian Engelke , Marloes H. Maathuis