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Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

Identifying directions where extreme events occur is a major challenge in multivariate extreme value analysis. In this paper, we use the concept of sparse regular variation introduced by Meyer and Wintenberger (2021)} to infer the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Nicolas Meyer , Olivier Wintenberger

Veraverbeke's (1977) theorem relates the tail of the distribution of the supremum of a random walk with negative drift to the tail of the distribution of its increments, or equivalently, the probability that a centered random walk with…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-26 Philippe Barbe , Bill McCormick

We study small time bounds for transition densities of convolution semigroups corresponding to pure jump L\'evy processes in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$, $d \geq 1$, including those with jumping kernels exponentially and subexponentially localized at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Kamil Kaleta , Paweł Sztonyk

We consider the extremal properties of the highly flexible univariate extended skew-normal distribution. We derive the well-known Mills' inequalities and Mills' ratio for the extended skew-normal distribution and establish the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-01 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Yangfan Xu , Scott A. Sisson

The distribution of the first positive position reached by a random walker starting from the origin is fundamental for understanding the statistics of extremes and records in one-dimensional random walks. We present a comprehensive study of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

A distributional equation as a criterion for invariant measures of Markov processes associated to L\'evy-type operators is established. This is obtained via a characterization of infinitesimally invariant measures of the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Anita Behme , David Oechsler

We examine the stationary distribution of random walks on directed graphs. In particular, we focus on the {\em principal ratio}, which is the ratio of maximum to minimum values of vertices in the stationary distribution. We give an upper…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Sinan Aksoy , Fan Chung , Xing Peng

We consider extremal processes and random walks generated by heavy-tailed random vectors taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ endowed with the $\ell_p$ metric. We establish limit theorems for the associated paths in the triangular array setting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Bochen Jin , Ilya Molchanov

We determine the rate of decrease of the right tail distribution of the exponential functional of a Levy process with a convolution equivalent Levy measure. Our main result establishes that it decreases as the right tail of the image under…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Víctor Rivero

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

Nonparametric regression quantiles obtained by inverting a kernel estimator of the conditional distribution of the response are long established in statistics. Attention has been, however, restricted to ordinary quantiles staying away from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Abdelaati Daouia , Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

Extreme events are an important theme in various areas of science because of their typically devastating effects on society and their scientific complexities. The latter is particularly true if the underlying dynamics does not lead to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Aicko Yves Schumann , Nicholas R. Moloney , Jörn Davidsen

We investigate densities of vaguely continuous convolution semigroups of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$. First, we provide results that give upper estimates in a situation when the corresponding jump measure is allowed to be highly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Tomasz Grzywny , Karol Szczypkowski

Conditional independence and graphical models are well studied for probability distributions on product spaces. We propose a new notion of conditional independence for any measure $\Lambda$ on the punctured Euclidean space $\mathbb…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Kirstin Strokorb

For L\'evy processes with exponentially decaying tails of the L\'evy density, we derive integral representations for the joint cpdf $V$ of $(X_T, \bar X_T,\tau_T)$ (the process, its supremum evaluated at $T<+\infty$, and the first time at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskii

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a stochastic maximal inequality derived by using the Taylor expansion, is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Yoichi Nishiyama

We consider a process $Z$ on the real line composed from a L\'evy process and its exponentially tilted version killed with arbitrary rates and give an expression for the joint law of $Z$ seen from its supremum, the supremum $\overline Z$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Due to globalization and relaxed market regulation, we have assisted to an increasing of extremal dependence in international markets. As a consequence, several measures of tail dependence have been stated in literature in recent years,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

We consider super-diffusive L\'evy walks in $d \geqslant 2$ dimensions when the duration of a single step, i.e., a ballistic motion performed by a walker, is governed by a power-law tailed distribution of infinite variance and finite mean.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-05 Itzhak Fouxon , Sergey Denisov , Vasily Zaburdaev , Eli Barkai
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