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Despite the widespread usage of discrete generation Ensemble Kalman particle filtering methodology to solve nonlinear and high dimensional filtering and inverse problems, little is known about their mathematical foundations. As genetic-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Pierre del Moral , Emma Horton

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Using a perturbation technique, we derive a new approximate filtering and smoothing methodology generalizing along different directions several existing approaches to robust filtering based on the score and the Hessian matrix of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo

We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

This paper is concerned with a generalized Kalman-Bucy filtering model and corresponding robust problem under model uncertainty. We find that this robust problem is equivalent to considering an estimate problem under some sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Shaolin Ji , Chuiliu Kong , Chuanfeng Sun

This paper addresses the challenge of probabilistic parameter estimation given measurement uncertainty in real-time. We provide a general formulation and apply this to pose estimation for an autonomous visual landing system. We present…

The Kalman Filter (KF) parameters are traditionally determined by noise estimation, since under the KF assumptions, the state prediction errors are minimized when the parameters correspond to the noise covariance. However, noise estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Ido Greenberg , Shie Mannor , Netanel Yannay

In this paper we consider the behavior of Kalman Filter state estimates in the case of distribution with heavy tails .The simulated linear state space models with Gaussian measurement noises were used. Gaussian noises in state equation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Valentin Konakov , Pavel Mozgunov

We present a new approach for estimating parameters in rational ODE models from given (measured) time series data. In typical existing approaches, an initial guess for the parameter values is made from a given search interval. Then, in a…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Oren Bassik , Yosef Berman , Soo Go , Hoon Hong , Ilia Ilmer , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Chris Rackauckas , Pedro Soto , Chee Yap

Multi-modal densities appear frequently in time series and practical applications. However, they cannot be represented by common state estimators, such as the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Sanket Kamthe , Jan Peters , Marc P Deisenroth

Mixtures of Gaussian factors are powerful tools for modeling an unobserved heterogeneous population, offering - at the same time - dimension reduction and model-based clustering. Unfortunately, the high prevalence of spurious solutions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 L. A. García-Escudero , A. Gordaliza , F. Greselin , S. Ingrassia , A. Mayo-Iscar

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai

This paper develops a robust extended Kalman filter to estimate the rotor angles and the rotor speeds of synchronous generators of a multimachine power system. Using a batch-mode regression form, the filter processes together predicted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Marcos Netto , Junbo Zhao , Lamine Mili

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with nonlinear uncertain dynamics over time-varying topologies of sensor networks. An extended state vector consisting of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Xingkang He , Xiaocheng Zhang , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

In this work, we present a new perspective on the origin and interpretation of adaptive filters. By applying Bayesian principles of recursive inference from the state-space model and using a series of simplifications regarding the structure…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Leszek Szczecinski , Jacob Benesty , Eduardo Vinicius Kuhn

In this paper, we address a robust nonlinear state estimation problem under model uncertainty by formulating a dynamic minimax game: one player designs the robust estimator, while the other selects the least favorable model from an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Shenglun Yi , Mattia Zorzi

A Kalman filter can be used to determine material parameters using uncertain experimental data. However, starting with inappropriate initial values for material parameters might include false local attractors or even divergence. Also,…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-02-13 Abdallah Shokry , Per Ståhle

This study proposes a robust estimator for stochastic frontier models by integrating the idea of Basu et al. [1998, Biometrika 85, 549-559] into such models. We verify that the suggested estimator is strongly consistent and asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-29 Junmo Song , Dong-hyun Oh , Jiwon Kang