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In this paper, we present a kernel-based, multi-task Gaussian Process (GP) model for approximating the underlying function of an individual's mobility state using a time-inhomogeneous Markov Process with two states: moves and pauses. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-22 Ekin Ugurel

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We consider the problem of estimating the expected time to find a maximum degree node on a graph using a (parameterized) biased random walk. For assortative graphs the positive degree correlation serves as a local gradient for which a bias…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-02-26 Jonathan Stokes , Steven Weber

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

When two Markov operators commute, it suggests that we can couple two copies of one of the corresponding processes. We explicitly construct a number of couplings of this type for a commuting family of Markov processes on the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Anthony P. Metcalfe , Neil O'Connell , Jon Warren

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

We determine the asymptotic speed of the first-passage percolation process on some ladder-like graphs (or width-2 stretches) when the times associated with different edges are independent and exponentially distributed but not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-24 Henrik Renlund

The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

Electronic transport through chaotic quantum dots exhibits universal behaviour which can be understood through the semiclassical approximation. Within the approximation, transport moments reduce to codifying classical correlations between…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-03-25 G. Berkolaiko , J. Kuipers

Uniform sampling from graphical realizations of a given degree sequence is a fundamental component in simulation-based measurements of network observables, with applications ranging from epidemics, through social networks to Internet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-04-14 Charo I. Del Genio , Hyunju Kim , Zoltan Toroczkai , Kevin E. Bassler

We use coupling to study the time taken until the distribution of a statistic on a Markov chain is close to its stationary distribution. Coupling is a common technique used to obtain upper bounds on mixing times of Markov chains, and we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-09 Graham White

Inferring graph structure from observations on the nodes is an important and popular network science task. Departing from the more common inference of a single graph and motivated by social and biological networks, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-19 Madeline Navarro , Yuhao Wang , Antonio G. Marques , Caroline Uhler , Santiago Segarra

A diffusion taking value in probability measures on a graph with a vertex set $V$, $\sum_{i\in V}x_i\delta_i$, is studied. The masses on each vertices satisfy the stochastic differential equation of the form $dx_i=\sum_{j\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Shuhei Mano

Graphons, as limit objects of dense graph sequences, play a central role in the statistical analysis of network data. However, existing graphon estimation methods often struggle with scalability to large networks and resolution-independent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Reza Ramezanpour , Victor M. Tenorio , Antonio G. Marques , Ashutosh Sabharwal , Santiago Segarra

This paper studies large deviations of a ``fully coupled" finite state mean-field interacting particle system in a fast varying environment. The empirical measure of the particles evolves in the slow time scale and the random environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Sarath Yasodharan , Rajesh Sundaresan

Markov chains are a convenient means of generating realizations of networks, since they require little more than a procedure for rewiring edges. If a rewiring procedure exists for generating new graphs with specified statistical properties,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-17 Jaideep Ray , Ali Pinar , C. Seshadhri

In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

We consider two examples for a well-known method for obtaining concentration of measure (COM) bounds for a given observable in a given measure. The method is to consider an auxiliary Markov chain for which the invariant distribution is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Michael Froehlich , Shannon Starr
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