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Data-driven algorithms, in particular neural networks, can emulate the effect of sub-grid scale processes in coarse-resolution climate models if trained on high-resolution climate simulations. However, they may violate key physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Tom Beucler , Michael Pritchard , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Rasp

A new model is presented for multisite statistical downscaling of temperature and precipitation using convolutional conditional neural processes (convCNPs). ConvCNPs are a recently developed class of models that allow deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Anna Vaughan , Will Tebbutt , J. Scott Hosking , Richard E. Turner

In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

Parameterizations of O(1-10)km submesoscale flows in General Circulation Models (GCMs) represent the effects of unresolved vertical buoyancy fluxes in the ocean mixed layer. These submesoscale flows interact non-linearly with mesoscale and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-04 Abigail Bodner , Dhruv Balwada , Laure Zanna

Graph neural networks (GNNs) model representations from networked data and allow for decentralized inference through localized communications. Existing GNN architectures often assume ideal communications and ignore potential channel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Zhan Gao , Deniz Gunduz

The problem of classifying turbulent environments from partial observation is key for some theoretical and applied fields, from engineering to earth observation and astrophysics, e.g. to precondition searching of optimal control policies in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-19 Michele Buzzicotti , Fabio Bonaccorso

Floods are the most common form of natural disaster and accurate flood forecasting is essential for early warning systems. Previous work has shown that machine learning (ML) models are a promising way to improve flood predictions when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Emil Ryd , Grey Nearing

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

We examine the ability of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms to infer surface/ground exchange flux based on subsurface temperature observations. The observations and fluxes are produced from a high-resolution numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Mohammad A. Moghaddam , Ty P. A. Ferre , Xingyuan Chen , Kewei Chen , Mohammad Reza Ehsani

Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer

One of the major sources of uncertainty in the current generation of Global Climate Models (GCMs) is the representation of sub-grid scale physical processes. Over the years, a series of deep-learning-based parameterization schemes have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Shuochen Wang , Nishant Yadav , Auroop R. Ganguly

This study aims to improve the accuracy of weather predictions by discovering spatial correlations between Earth observations and atmospheric states. Existing numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems predict future atmospheric states at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

Simulating abundances of stable water isotopologues, i.e. molecules differing in their isotopic composition, within climate models allows for comparisons with proxy data and, thus, for testing hypotheses about past climate and validating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Jonathan Wider , Jakob Kruse , Nils Weitzel , Janica C. Bühler , Ullrich Köthe , Kira Rehfeld

The fast and accurate estimation of planetary mass-loss rates is critical for planet population and evolution modelling. We use machine learning (ML) for fast interpolation across an existing large grid of hydrodynamic upper atmosphere…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-04 Amit Reza , Daria Kubyshkina , Luca Fossati , Christiane Helling

A stochastic subgrid-scale parameterization based on the Ruelle's response theory and proposed in Wouters and Lucarini [2012] is tested in the context of a low-order coupled ocean-atmosphere model for which a part of the atmospheric modes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-01-18 Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem

The added value of machine learning for weather and climate applications is measurable through performance metrics, but explaining it remains challenging, particularly for large deep learning models. Inspired by climate model hierarchies,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-22 Tom Beucler , Arthur Grundner , Sara Shamekh , Peter Ukkonen , Matthew Chantry , Ryan Lagerquist

Climate projections suffer from uncertain equilibrium climate sensitivity. The reason behind this uncertainty is the resolution of global climate models, which is too coarse to resolve key processes such as clouds and convection. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Soukayna Mouatadid , Pierre Gentine , Wei Yu , Steve Easterbrook

A nonlocal subgrid-scale stress (SGS) model is developed based on the convolution neural network (CNN), a powerful supervised data-driven approach. The CNN is an ideal approach to naturally consider nonlocal spatial information in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-27 Bo Liu , Huiyang Yu , Haibo Huang , Xi-Yun Lu

Plasma systems exhibit complex multiscale dynamics, resolving which poses significant challenges for conventional numerical simulations. Machine learning (ML) offers an alternative by learning data-driven representations of these dynamics.…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-03-04 Farbod Faraji , Maryam Reza

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu
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