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Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian

Over-parameterized deep models usually over-fit to a given training distribution, which makes them sensitive to small changes and out-of-distribution samples at inference time, leading to low generalization performance. To this end, several…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Saeid Asgari Taghanaki , Kumar Abhishek , Ghassan Hamarneh

Signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterize geometric rough paths, which includes the paths with bounded variation. This object has been studied successfully for machine learning with mostly applications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-19 Ming Min , Tomoyuki Ichiba

Signatures, one of the key concepts of rough path theory, have recently gained prominence as a means to find appropriate feature sets in machine learning systems. In this paper, in order to compute signatures directly from discrete data…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Takanori Adachi , Yusuke Naritomi

The signature of a path is an essential object in the theory of rough paths. The signature representation of the data stream can recover standard statistics, e.g. the moments of the data stream. The classification of random walks indicates…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-09-14 Hao Ni

Classic control techniques typically rely on a model of the system's response to external inputs, which is difficult to obtain from first principles especially if the unknown dynamics are nonlinear. In this paper, we address this issue by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-28 Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Embeddings play a pivotal role across various disciplines, offering compact representations of complex data structures. Randomized methods like Johnson-Lindenstrauss (JL) provide state-of-the-art and essentially unimprovable theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-11 Nikos Tsikouras , Constantine Caramanis , Christos Tzamos

We bring the theory of rough paths to the study of non-parametric statistics on streamed data. We discuss the problem of regression where the input variable is a stream of information, and the dependent response is also (potentially) a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-23 Daniel Levin , Terry Lyons , Hao Ni

Anomaly detection is the process of identifying abnormal instances or events in data sets which deviate from the norm significantly. In this study, we propose a signatures based machine learning algorithm to detect rare or unexpected items…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-09 Erdinc Akyildirim , Matteo Gambara , Josef Teichmann , Syang Zhou

The 'signature method' refers to a collection of feature extraction techniques for multivariate time series, derived from the theory of controlled differential equations. There is a great deal of flexibility as to how this method can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 James Morrill , Adeline Fermanian , Patrick Kidger , Terry Lyons

We investigate the use of path signatures in a machine learning context for hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models. In a deep learning setting, we use signatures as features in feedforward neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard

Modern deep learning for asset allocation typically separates forecasting from optimization. We argue this creates a fundamental mismatch where minimizing prediction errors fails to yield robust portfolios. We propose the Signature Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yoontae Hwang , Stefan Zohren

Signature is widely used in human daily lives, and serves as a supplementary characteristic for verifying human identity. However, there is rare work of verifying signature. In this paper, we propose a few deep learning architectures to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Zihan Zeng , Jing Tian

Signature-based techniques give mathematical insight into the interactions between complex streams of evolving data. These insights can be quite naturally translated into numerical approaches to understanding streamed data, and perhaps…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Terry Lyons , Andrew D. McLeod

We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ilya Chevyrev , Andrey Kormilitzin

Simulation models of complex dynamics in the natural and social sciences commonly lack a tractable likelihood function, rendering traditional likelihood-based statistical inference impossible. Recent advances in machine learning have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-24 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , Sebastian M Schmon

The expected signature maps a collection of data streams to a lower dimensional representation, with a remarkable property: the resulting feature tensor can fully characterize the data generating distribution. This "model-free" embedding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Distribution Regression (DR) on stochastic processes describes the learning task of regression on collections of time series. Path signatures, a technique prevalent in stochastic analysis, have been used to solve the DR problem. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Andrew Alden , Carmine Ventre , Blanka Horvath

Path signatures have been proposed as a powerful representation of paths that efficiently captures the path's analytic and geometric characteristics, having useful algebraic properties including fast concatenation of paths through tensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-21 Motoya Ohnishi , Iretiayo Akinola , Jie Xu , Ajay Mandlekar , Fabio Ramos

The signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterise a stream of data up to a negligible equivalence class. It is a transform which has previously been treated as a fixed feature transformation, on top of which a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Patric Bonnier , Patrick Kidger , Imanol Perez Arribas , Cristopher Salvi , Terry Lyons
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