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Bayesian optimization is a sequential decision making framework for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. Computing a full lookahead policy amounts to solving a highly intractable stochastic dynamic program. Myopic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Shali Jiang , Daniel R. Jiang , Maximilian Balandat , Brian Karrer , Jacob R. Gardner , Roman Garnett

This paper presents a method to approximately solve stochastic optimal control problems in which the cost function and the system dynamics are polynomial. For stochastic systems with polynomial dynamics, the moments of the state can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Abolfazl Ramezanpour , Riccardo Zecchina

We consider multistage stochastic linear optimization problems combining joint dynamic probabilistic constraints with hard constraints. We develop a method for projecting decision rules onto hard constraints of wait-and-see type. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Vincent Guigues , Rene Henrion

In this paper, we consider the alignment between an upstream dimensionality reduction task of learning a low-dimensional representation of a set of high-dimensional data and a downstream optimization task of solving a stochastic program…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Long He , Ho-Yin Mak

When looking for a solution, deterministic methods have the enormous advantage that they do find global optima. Unfortunately, they are very CPU-intensive, and are useless on untractable NP-hard problems that would require thousands of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-12-20 Pierre Collet , Jean-Philippe Rennard

Two-stage stochastic optimization is a framework for modeling uncertainty, where we have a probability distribution over possible realizations of the data, called scenarios, and decisions are taken in two stages: we make first-stage…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Andre Linhares , Chaitanya Swamy

Ignoring uncertainty in combinatorial optimization leads to suboptimal decisions in practice. Nevertheless, the focus is often on deterministic combinatorial optimization problems, mainly because they are already challenging enough without…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Joost Berkhout

Influence diagrams are widely employed to represent multi-stage decision problems in which each decision is a choice from a discrete set of alternatives, uncertain chance events have discrete outcomes, and prior decisions may influence the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Ahti Salo , Juho Andelmin , Fabricio Oliveira

Optimal inventory leads to stochastic optimization problems where deterministic delivery decisions have to be made in advance of stochastic demand realizations. Similarly, risk deposits have to be given before the random outcomes of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Andreas H. Hamel , Andreas Löhne

One often encounters the curse of dimensionality in the application of dynamic programming to determine optimal policies for controlled Markov chains. In this paper, we provide a method to construct sub-optimal policies along with a bound…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-17 Myoungkuk Park , Krishnamoorthy Kalyanam , Swaroop Darbha , Phil Chandler , Meir Pachter

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

We provide a novel computer-assisted technique for systematically analyzing first-order methods for optimization. In contrast with previous works, the approach is particularly suited for handling sublinear convergence rates and stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

In this paper we focus on the problem of assigning uncertainties to single-point predictions generated by a deterministic model that outputs a continuous variable. This problem applies to any state-of-the-art physics or engineering models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enrico Camporeale , Algo Carè

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for solving expensive, black-box optimization problems. Stochastic programming concerns optimization under uncertainty where, typically, average performance is the quantity of interest. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Jack M. Buckingham , Ivo Couckuyt , Juergen Branke

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We introduce the class of multistage stochastic optimization problems with a random number of stages. For such problems, we show how to write dynamic programming equations and detail the Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming algorithm to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Vincent Guigues

In several applications of automatic diagnosis and active learning a central problem is the evaluation of a discrete function by adaptively querying the values of its variables until the values read uniquely determine the value of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Ferdinando Cicalese , Eduardo Laber , Aline Medeiros Saettler

We study a class of two-stage stochastic programs, namely, those with fixed recourse matrix and fixed costs, and linear second stage. We show that, under mild assumptions, the problem can be solved with just one scenario, which we call an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Tito Homem-de-Mello , Juan Valencia , Felipe Lagos , Guido Lagos

The supply of electrical energy is being increasingly sourced from renewable generation resources. The variability and uncertainty of renewable generation, compared to a dispatch-able plant, is a significant dissimilarity of concern to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Javad Salehi