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We investigate an epidemic model based on Bailey's continuous differential system. In the continuous time domain, we extend the classical model to time-dependent coefficients and present an alternative solution method to Gleissner's…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Martin Bohner , Sabrina Streipert , Delfim F. M. Torres

In this paper we provide the derivation of a super compact pairwise model with only 4 equations in the context of describing susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic dynamics on heterogenous networks. The super compact model is based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Péter L. Simon , Istvan Z. Kiss

The paper describes and compares three approaches to modeling an epidemic spread. The first approach is a well-known system of SIR ordinary differential equations. The second is a mean-field model, in which an isolation strategy for each…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Viktoriya Petrakova , Olga Krivorotko

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We study the deterministic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on weighted graphs. In their numerical study [10] van Mieghem et al. have shown that it is possible to learn an estimated network from a finite time sample of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-09 Dániel Keliger , Illés Horváth

The present article studies the extension of two deterministic models for describing the novel coronavirus pandemic crisis, the SIR model and the SEIR model. The models were studied and compared to real data in order to support the validity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-05 P. H. P. Cintra , M. F. Citeli , F. N. Fontinele

This work is concerned with epidemiological models defined on networks, which highlight the prominent role of the social contact network of a given population in the spread of infectious diseases. In particular, we address the modelling and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Patane'

We predict the future course of ongoing susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemics on regular, Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi and Barab\'asi-Albert networks. It is known that the contact network influences the spread of an epidemic within a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-11 Tanja Zerenner , Francesco Di Lauro , Masoumeh Dashti , Luc Berthouze , Istvan Z. Kiss

Starting from a stochastic individual-based description of an SIS epidemic spreading on a random network, we study the dynamics when the size $n$ of the network tends to infinity. We recover in the limit an infinite-dimensional…

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

The classic SIR model of epidemic dynamics is solved completely by quadratures, including a time integral transform expanded in a series of incomplete gamma functions. The model is also generalized to arbitrary time-dependent infection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-07 E. Sadurní , G. Luna-Acosta

An ultrametric model of epidemic spread of infections based on the classical SIR model is proposed. Ultrametrics on a set of individuals based on theire hierarchical clustering relativly to the average time of infectious contact is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-21 V. T. Volov , A. P. Zubarev

We revisit the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model and one of its nonlocal variations recently developed in \cite{Guan}. We introduce several new approaches to derive exact analytical solutions in the classical…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Li , Guan , Dong Li , Ke Wang , Kun Zhao

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

Compartmental equations are primary tools in disease spreading studies. Their predictions are accurate for large populations but disagree with empirical and simulated data for finite populations, where uncertainties become a relevant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-18 GM Nakamura , ND Gomes , GC Cardoso , AS Martinez

We show that the mean field equations for the SIR epidemic can be exactly solved for a network with arbitrary degree distribution. Our exact solution consists of reducing the dynamics to a lone first order differential equation, which has a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-28 Andrew Lucas

We study the dynamics of a spatially structured model of worldwide epidemics and formulate predictions for arrival times of the disease at any city in the network. The model is comprised of a system of ordinary differential equations…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-02-14 Lawrence M. Chen , Matt Holzer , Anne Shapiro

We study the SIR ("susceptible, infected, removed/recovered") model on directed graphs with heterogeneous transmission probabilities within the message-passing approximation. We characterize the percolation transition, predict cluster size…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Christoph Widder , Tanja Schilling

We present an exact analytical solution to a one-dimensional model of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic type, with infection rates dependent on nearest-neighbor occupations. We use a quantum mechanical approach, transforming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 H. Thomas Williams , Irina Mazilu , Dan Mazilu

We present a unified mathematical approach to epidemiological models with parametric heterogeneity, i.e., to the models that describe individuals in the population as having specific parameter (trait) values that vary from one individuals…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-14 Artem S. Novozhilov