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Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piche , Fredrik Gustafsson

State space models (SSMs) are widely used to describe dynamic systems. However, when the likelihood of the observations is intractable, parameter inference for SSMs cannot be easily carried out using standard Markov chain Monte Carlo or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-21 Zhaoran Hou , Samuel W. K. Wong

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

A novel stochastic fluid model is proposed with non-ideal structure factor consistent with compressibility, and adjustable transport coefficients. This Stochastic Hard Sphere Dynamics (SHSD) algorithm is a modification of the Direct…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Aleksandar Donev , Berni J. Alder , Alejandro L. Garcia

The aim of this paper is to devise a turbulence model for the particle method Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH) which makes few assumptions, conserves linear and angular momentum, satisfies a discrete version of Kelvin's circulation…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-16 J. J. Monaghan

We derive a self-consistent hydrodynamic theory of coupled binary-fluid-surfactant systems from the underlying microscopic physics using Rayleigh's variational principle. At the microscopic level, surfactant molecules are modelled as…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-02-25 Alexandra J. Hardy , Samuel Cameron , Steven McDonald , Abdallah Daddi-Moussa-Ider , Elsen Tjhung

Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) is an effective tool for tracking community circulation of respiratory viruses. We address estimating the effective reproduction number ($R_t$) and the relative number of infections from wastewater viral…

We investigate nonlinear state-space models without a closed-form transition density, and propose reformulating such models over their latent noise variables rather than their latent state variables. In doing so the tractable noise density…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-11 Lawrence M. Murray , Emlyn M. Jones , John Parslow

We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

We develop a Bayesian particle filter for tracking traffic flows that is capable of capturing non-linearities and discontinuities present in flow dynamics. Our model includes a hidden state variable that captures sudden regime shifts…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Establishing appropriate mathematical models for complex systems in natural phenomena not only helps deepen our understanding of nature but can also be used for state estimation and prediction. However, the extreme complexity of natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Cheng Fang , Jinqiao Duan

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Salmon's nearly geostrophic model for rotating shallow-water flow is derived in full spherical geometry. The model, which results upon constraining the velocity field to the height field in Hamilton's principle for rotating shallow-water…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. J. Beron-Vera

We apply the Barker-Henderson (BH) perturbation theory to the study of a Lennard-Jones fluid confined in a random porous matrix formed by hard sphere particles. In order to describe the reference system needed in this perturbation scheme,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-04-07 M. F. Holovko , T. M. Patsahan , V. I. Shmotolokha

Image-based computational fluid dynamics have long played an important role in leveraging knowledge and understanding of several physical phenomena. In particular, probabilistic computational methods have opened the way to modelling the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Karim Makki , Jean François Lecomte , Lukas Fuchs , Sylvie Schueller , Etienne Mémin

This paper focuses on the estimation of partially observed branching processes. First, the estimators from a frequentist perspective proposed in the literature are reviewed. The main objective of this paper is to present computational tools…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-21 Miguel González , Inés M. del Puerto , Manuel Serrano-Pastor

A binary fluid mixture in contact with lateral particle reservoirs is considered. By imposing different particle concentrations in these reservoirs, the system can be maintained under controlled non-equilibrium conditions. Previous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 O. Politano , Alejandro L. Garcia , F. Baras , M. Malek Mansour

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

In this study, we explore data assimilation for the Stochastic Camassa-Holm equation through the application of the particle filtering framework. Specifically, our approach integrates adaptive tempering, jittering, and nudging techniques to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Colin John Cotter , Dan Crisan , Maneesh Kumar Singh

A stochastic Machine-Learning approach is developed for data-driven Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) predictions of turbulent flows, with quantified model uncertainty. This is done by combining a Bayesian symbolic identification…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-05 Soufiane Cherroud , Xavier Merle , Paola Cinnella , Xavier Gloerfelt
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