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Spatial statistics often involves Cholesky decomposition of covariance matrices. To ensure scalability to high dimensions, several recent approximations have assumed a sparse Cholesky factor of the precision matrix. We propose a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Marcin Jurek , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jian Cao , Joseph Guinness , Marc G. Genton , Matthias Katzfuss

In recent years, there has been widespread adoption of machine learning-based approaches to automate the solving of partial differential equations (PDEs). Among these approaches, Gaussian processes (GPs) and kernel methods have garnered…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Yifan Chen , Houman Owhadi , Florian Schäfer

Dense kernel matrices resulting from pairwise evaluations of a kernel function arise naturally in machine learning and statistics. Previous work in constructing sparse approximate inverse Cholesky factors of such matrices by minimizing…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-12 Stephen Huan , Joseph Guinness , Matthias Katzfuss , Houman Owhadi , Florian Schäfer

Gaussian processes are flexible, probabilistic, non-parametric models widely used in machine learning and statistics. However, their scalability to large data sets is limited by computational constraints. To overcome these challenges, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Many scientific phenomena are studied using computer experiments consisting of multiple runs of a computer model while varying the input settings. Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular tool for the analysis of computer experiments,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Earl Lawrence

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used as models for functions, time series, and spatial fields, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. Focusing on the typical setting of modeling data as a GP plus an additive noise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness

Gaussian processes (GPs) are highly flexible function estimators used for geospatial analysis, nonparametric regression, and machine learning, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. Vecchia approximations of GPs have…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Wenlong Gong , Daniel Zilber

Distributional regression is extended to Gaussian response vectors of dimension greater than two by parameterizing the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the response distribution using the entries of its Cholesky decomposition. The more common…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Thomas Muschinski , Georg J. Mayr , Thorsten Simon , Nikolaus Umlauf , Achim Zeileis

We propose to compute a sparse approximate inverse Cholesky factor $L$ of a dense covariance matrix $\Theta$ by minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the Gaussian distributions $\mathcal{N}(0, \Theta)$ and $\mathcal{N}(0,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Florian Schäfer , Matthias Katzfuss , Houman Owhadi

Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are flexible probabilistic non-parametric function models. Vecchia approximations are accurate approximations for GPs to overcome computational bottlenecks for large data, and the Laplace approximation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

The sparse Cholesky parametrization of the inverse covariance matrix can be interpreted as a Gaussian Bayesian network; however its counterpart, the covariance Cholesky factor, has received, with few notable exceptions, little attention so…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Gherardo Varando

This paper studies the estimation of large precision matrices and Cholesky factors obtained by observing a Gaussian process at many locations. Under general assumptions on the precision and the observations, we show that the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

To achieve scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes, we propose a variational approximation based on a family of Gaussian distributions whose covariance matrices have sparse inverse Cholesky (SIC) factors. We combine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Jian Cao , Myeongjong Kang , Felix Jimenez , Huiyan Sang , Florian Schafer , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely used to model dependencies in spatial statistics and machine learning. However, exact inference is computationally intractable for GP regression, with a time complexity of $O(n^3)$. The Vecchia…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Botond Szabo , Yichen Zhu

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

The partial pivoted Cholesky approximation accurately represents matrices that are close to being low-rank. Meanwhile, the Vecchia approximation accurately represents matrices with inverse Cholesky factors that are close to being sparse.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Eagan Kaminetz , Robert J. Webber

Spatial data display correlation between observations collected at neighboring locations. Generally, machine and deep learning methods either do not account for this correlation or do so indirectly through correlated features and thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Matthew J. Heaton , Andrew Millane , Jake S. Rhodes

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are vital for modeling and predicting irregularly-spaced, large geospatial datasets. However, their computations often pose significant challenges in large-scale applications. One popular method to approximate GPs…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-24 Qilong Pan , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun
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