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Irregular sampling of time series in electronic health records (EHRs) is one of the main challenges for developing machine learning models. Additionally, the pattern of missing data in certain clinical variables is not at random but depends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Hojjat Karami , David Atienza , Anisoara Ionescu

A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers. We argue that this gap arises from a mismatch in the sequence-modeling primitive: while many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Jevon Twitty , Vinh Pham , Nitiwith Rotchanarak , Viresh Pati , Yubin Kim , Shihao Yang , Jiecheng Lu

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have shown great success in modeling time-dependent patterns, but there is limited research on their learned representations of latent temporal features and the emergence of these representations during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Peter DelMastro , Rushiv Arora , Edward Rietman , Hava T. Siegelmann

Recently proposed encoder-decoder structures for modeling Hawkes processes use transformer-inspired architectures, which encode the history of events via embeddings and self-attention mechanisms. These models deliver better prediction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Yamac Alican Isik , Connor Davis , Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Ricardo Henao

Transformer Hawkes process models have shown to be successful in modeling event sequence data. However, most of the existing training methods rely on maximizing the likelihood of event sequences, which involves calculating some intractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Zichong Li , Yanbo Xu , Simiao Zuo , Haoming Jiang , Chao Zhang , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

Although end-to-end neural text-to-speech (TTS) methods (such as Tacotron2) are proposed and achieve state-of-the-art performance, they still suffer from two problems: 1) low efficiency during training and inference; 2) hard to model long…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-01-31 Naihan Li , Shujie Liu , Yanqing Liu , Sheng Zhao , Ming Liu , Ming Zhou

Graph-based next-step prediction models have recently been very successful in modeling complex high-dimensional physical systems on irregular meshes. However, due to their short temporal attention span, these models suffer from error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Xu Han , Han Gao , Tobias Pfaff , Jian-Xun Wang , Li-Ping Liu

Neural Processes (NPs) are a rapidly evolving class of models designed to directly model the posterior predictive distribution of stochastic processes. Originally developed as a scalable alternative to Gaussian Processes (GPs), which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Daniel Jenson , Jhonathan Navott , Mengyan Zhang , Makkunda Sharma , Elizaveta Semenova , Seth Flaxman

Although Transformers excel in natural language processing, their extension to time series forecasting remains challenging due to insufficient consideration of the differences between textual and temporal modalities. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Xuan Tang , Baixin Li , Yongsheng Huang , Mingyang Geng , Changsheng Zhang , Bin Zhang , Binwu Wang

Neural Processes (NPs) have gained attention in meta-learning for their ability to quantify uncertainty, together with their rapid prediction and adaptability. However, traditional NPs are prone to underfitting. Transformer Neural Processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Jose Lara-Rangel , Nanze Chen , Fengzhe Zhang

Multi-horizon time series forecasting has many practical applications such as demand forecasting. Accurate demand prediction is critical to help make buying and inventory decisions for supply chain management of e-commerce and physical…

Recent studies reveal the potential of recurrent neural network transducer (RNN-T) for end-to-end (E2E) speech recognition. Among some most popular E2E systems including RNN-T, Attention Encoder-Decoder (AED), and Connectionist Temporal…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-19 Bin Wang , Yan Yin , Hui Lin

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many real-world scenarios, such as equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, and traffic flow forecasting. It can be observed from recent research that a variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Jie Hu , Zhen Jia

Transformer-based models have shown strong performance in time-series forecasting by leveraging self-attention to model long-range temporal dependencies. However, their effectiveness depends critically on the quality and structure of input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Saurish Nagrath , Saroj Kumar Panigrahy

Many important problems require modelling large-scale spatio-temporal datasets, with one prevalent example being weather forecasting. Recently, transformer-based approaches have shown great promise in a range of weather forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Matthew Ashman , Cristiana Diaconu , Eric Langezaal , Adrian Weller , Richard E. Turner

Associative memory models based on Hopfield networks and self-attention based on key-value mechanisms have been popular approaches in the study of memory mechanisms in deep learning. It has been pointed out that the state update rule of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Tsubasa Masumura , Masato Taki

With the development of feed-forward models, the default model for sequence modeling has gradually evolved to replace recurrent networks. Many powerful feed-forward models based on convolutional networks and attention mechanism were…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Hongyan Hao , Yan Wang , Siqiao Xue , Yudi Xia , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

How to effectively and efficiently deal with spatio-temporal event streams, where the events are generally sparse and non-uniform and have the microsecond temporal resolution, is of great value and has various real-life applications.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Man Yao , Huanhuan Gao , Guangshe Zhao , Dingheng Wang , Yihan Lin , Zhaoxu Yang , Guoqi Li