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Related papers: On Hawkes Processes with Infinite Mean Intensity

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We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Łukasz Treszczotko

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

The principle of permanence of large eddies is one of the central pillars onto which our understanding of decaying homogeneous turbulence is built. The validity conditions of this principle have been thoroughly discussed for constant…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-04-15 O. Soulard , J Griffond , B. -J Gréa , G Viciconte

We consider a nonlinear multivariate Hawkes process having a variable length memory which allows to describe the activity of a neuronal network by its membrane potential. We propose a graphical construction of the process and we construct,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Branda Goncalves , Paul Gresland

The Hawkes self-excited point process provides an efficient representation of the bursty intermittent dynamics of many physical, biological, geological and economic systems. By expressing the probability for the next event per unit time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-23 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette

We study statistical aspects of state-dependent Hawkes processes, which are an extension of Hawkes processes where a self- and cross-exciting counting process and a state process are fully coupled, interacting with each other. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-17 Maxime Morariu-Patrichi , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The Hawkes process is a counting process that has self- and mutually-exciting features with many applications in various fields. In recent years, there have been many interests in the mean-field results of the Hawkes process and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Fuqing Gao , Yunshi Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider a population of Hawkes processes modeling the activity of $N$ interacting neurons. The neurons are regularly positioned on the segment $[0,1]$, and the connectivity between neurons is given by a random possibly diluted and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Zoé Agathe-Nerine

We propose a definition o meta-stability and obtain sufficient conditions for a sequence of Markov processes on finite state spaces to be meta-stable. In the reversible case, these conditions reduce to estimates of the capacity and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-18 J. Beltran , C. Landim

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, insurance, neuroscience,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

This work develops a quantitative homogenization theory for random suspensions of rigid particles in a steady Stokes flow, and completes recent qualitative results. More precisely, we establish a large-scale regularity theory for this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Mitia Duerinckx , Antoine Gloria

A linear stability analysis of the hydrodynamic equations of a model for confined quasi-two-dimensional granular gases is carried out. The stability analysis is performed around the homogeneous steady state (HSS) reached eventually by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-10 Vicente Garzó , Ricardo Brito , Rodrigo Soto

We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

We consider the problem of learning the network of mutual excitations (i.e., the dependency graph) in a non-stationary, multivariate Hawkes process. We consider a general setting where baseline rates at each node are time-varying and delay…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

In this paper, we introduce a new class of processes which are diffusions with jumps driven by a multivariate nonlinear Hawkes process. Our goal is to study their long-time behavior. In the case of exponential memory kernels for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler , Eva Löcherbach

This paper proposes a framework to assess the stability of an ordinary differential equation which is coupled to a 1D-partial differential equation (PDE). The stability theorem is based on a new result on Integral Quadratic Constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Matthieu Barreau , Carsten W. Scherer , Frederic Gouaisbaut , Alexandre Seuret

In this paper, we use the Hawkes process to model the sequence of failure, i.e., events of compressor station and conduct survival analysis on various failure events of the compressor station. However, until now, nearly all relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Lu-ning Zhang , Jian-wei Liu , Xin Zuo

Hawkes processes have seen a number of applications in finance, due to their ability to capture event clustering behaviour typically observed in financial systems. Given a calibrated Hawkes process, of concern is the statistical fit to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-18 Roger Martins , Dieter Hendricks

Across a wide variety of applications, the self-exciting Hawkes process has been used to model phenomena in which the history of events influences future occurrences. However, there may be many situations in which the past events only…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Andrew Daw , Jamol Pender

We provide a new proof of the existence of Gibbs point processes with infinite range interactions, based on the compactness of entropy levels. Our main existence theorem holds under two assumptions. The first one is the standard stability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 David Dereudre , Thibaut Vasseur