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Advancing probabilistic solar forecasting methods is essential to supporting the integration of solar energy into the electricity grid. In this work, we develop a variety of state-of-the-art probabilistic models for forecasting solar…

This paper presents a solution to the Weather4Cast 2023 competition, where the goal is to forecast high-resolution precipitation with an 8-hour lead time using lower-resolution satellite radiance images. We propose a simple, yet effective…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting is critical for grid stability, particularly in arid regions characterized by rapid aerosol fluctuations. While recent trends favor computationally expensive Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah , Rufaidah Abdallah Ibrahim Mohammed

The use of residential photovoltaics has increased dramatically in recent years. With battery systems becoming more affordable, the optimal operation of a photovoltaic-battery system can bring significant savings to households. Optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Joris Depoortere , Hussain Kazmi , Johan Driesen

This paper presents a machine learning-based approach for predicting solar power generation with high accuracy using a 99% AUC (Area Under the Curve) metric. The approach includes data collection, pre-processing, feature selection, model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 E. Subramanian , M. Mithun Karthik , G Prem Krishna , D. Vaisnav Prasath , V. Sukesh Kumar

This paper aims to introduce a new statistical learning technique based on sparsity promoting for data-driven modeling and control of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. Compared with conventional sparse regression techniques that might…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Zhongtian Zhang , Javad Khazaei , Rick S. Blum

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Linyuan Geng , Linxiao Yang , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun

A methodology for downscaling solar irradiation from satellite-derived databases is described using R software. Different packages such as raster, parallel, solaR, gstat, sp and rasterVis are considered in this study for improving solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-12-02 F. Antonanzas-Torres , F. J. Martínez de Pisón , J. Antonanzas , O. Perpiñán

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

We present the encoder-forecaster convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) deep-learning model that powers Microsoft Weather's operational precipitation nowcasting product. This model takes as input a sequence of weather radar mosaics…

Electricity generated from renewable energy sources has been established as an efficient remedy for both energy shortages and the environmental pollution stemming from conventional energy production methods. Solar and wind power are two of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Charalampos Symeonidis , Nikos Nikolaidis

Long-term sensor network deployments demand careful power management. While managing power requires understanding the amount of energy harvestable from the local environment, current solar prediction methods rely only on recent local…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Elizabeth Basha , Raja Jurdak , Daniela Rus

This paper proposes an improved deep learning based maximum power point tracking (MPPT) in solar photovoltaic cells considering various time series based environmental inputs. Generally, artificial neural network based MPPT algorithms use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Palaash Agrawal , Hari Om Bansal , Aditya R. Gautam , Om Prakash Mahela , Baseem Khan

We discuss a prediction of the solar activity on a short time-scale applying the method based on a combination of a nonlinear mean-field dynamo model and the artificial neural network. The artificial neural network which serves as a…

Machine learning has emerged as a promising approach for estimating material parameters in solar cells. Traditional methods for parameter extraction often rely on time-consuming numerical simulations that fail to capture the full complexity…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-06-17 Eunchi Kim , Paula Hartnagel , Barbara Urbano , Leonard Christen , Thomas Kirchartz

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Accurate ultra-short-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) ramp events is essential for maintaining grid stability in solar-integrated power systems, particularly under rapidly changing cloud conditions. This paper presents a generative…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-06 Siyuan Wang , Fengqi You

The increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events, which are a major cause of urban flooding, underscores the urgent need for accurate precipitation forecasting - particularly in urban areas where localized events often go undetected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Rama Kassoumeh , David Rügamer , Henning Oppel

In this paper, we proposed a method using supervised ML in solar PV system for MPPT analysis. For this purpose, an overall schematic diagram of a PV system is designed and simulated to create a dataset in MATLAB/ Simulink. Thus, by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Ruhi Sharmin , Sayeed Shafayet Chowdhury , Farihal Abedin , Kazi Mujibur Rahman