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Improving health worldwide will require rigorous quantification of population-level trends in health status. However, global-level surveys are not available, forcing researchers to rely on fragmentary country-specific data of varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Mariel M. Finucane , Christopher J. Paciorek , Goodarz Danaei , Majid Ezzati

We present a mechanism for constructing graphical models, specifically Bayesian networks, from a knowledge base of general probabilistic information. The unique feature of our approach is that it uses a powerful first-order probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Fahiem Bacchus

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

This report summarises the outcomes of a systematic literature search to identify Bayesian network models used to support decision making in healthcare. After describing the search methodology, the selected research papers are briefly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Artem Velikzhanin , Benjie Wang , Marta Kwiatkowska

Continuous time Bayesian networks are investigated with a special focus on their ability to express causality. A framework is presented for doing inference in these networks. The central contributions are a representation of the intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-26 Jonas Hallgren , Timo Koski

Bayesian sociality models provide a scalable and flexible alternative for network analysis, capturing degree heterogeneity through actor-specific parameters while mitigating the identifiability challenges of latent space models. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Juan Sosa , Carlo Martínez

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the networks, we derive neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-04-30 Michael J. Barber , John W. Clark

In this article, a model is proposed using Bayesian techniques to account for the high correlation between many observed set of contingency tables. In many real life data this high correlation is encountered. Simulation studies are also…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Samit Roy , Sujatro Chaklader

In this paper we present a framework for dynamically constructing Bayesian networks. We introduce the notion of a background knowledge base of schemata, which is a collection of parameterized conditional probability statements. These…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Michael C. Horsch , David L. Poole

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

Network models are widely used as structural summaries of biochemical systems. Statistical estimation of networks is usually based on linear or discrete models. However, the dynamics of these systems are generally nonlinear, suggesting that…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-03 C. J. Oates , F. Dondelinger , N. Bayani , J. Korola , J. W. Gray , S. Mukherjee

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

This paper addresses the problem of community detection in networked data that combines link and content analysis. Most existing work combines link and content information by a generative model. There are two major shortcomings with the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Tianbao Yang , Rong Jin , Yun Chi , Shenghuo Zhu

Traffic forecasting from past observed traffic data with small calculation complexity is one of important problems for planning of servers and networks. Focusing on World Wide Web (WWW) traffic as fundamental investigation, this paper would…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-12-03 Daiki Koizumi , Toshiyasu Matsushima , Shigeichi Hirasawa

Sepsis is a life-threatening and serious global health issue. This study combines knowledge with available hospital data to investigate the potential causes of Sepsis that can be affected by policy decisions. We investigate the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Bruno Petrungaro , Neville K. Kitson , Anthony C. Constantinou

Machine learning provides algorithms that can learn from data and make inferences or predictions on data. Bayesian networks are a class of graphical models that allow to represent a collection of random variables and their condititional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Robert Leppert , Karl-Heinz Zimmermann

Early, reliable detection of disease outbreaks is a critical problem today. This paper reports an investigation of the use of causal Bayesian networks to model spatio-temporal patterns of a non-contagious disease (respiratory anthrax…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-19 Gregory F. Cooper , Denver Dash , John Levander , Weng-Keen Wong , William Hogan , Michael Wagner

The enhanced Bayesian network (eBN) methodology described in the companion paper facilitates the assessment of reliability and risk of engineering systems when information about the system evolves in time. We present the application of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian

We develop simple methods for constructing likelihoods and parameter priors for learning about the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network. In particular, we introduce several assumptions that permit the construction of likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

The collection of data on populations of networks is becoming increasingly common, where each data point can be seen as a realisation of a network-valued random variable. A canonical example is that of brain networks: a typical neuroimaging…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Brieuc Lehmann , Simon White