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The Bayesian two-step change point detection method is popular for the Hawkes process due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, the non-conjugacy between the point process likelihood and the prior requires most existing Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Zeyue Zhang , Xiaoling Lu , Feng Zhou

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Uncertainty quantification has received considerable interest in recent works in Machine Learning. In particular, Conformal Prediction (CP) gains ground in this field. For the case of time series, Online Conformal Prediction (OCP) becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Théo Dupuy , Binbin Xu , Stéphane Perrey , Jacky Montmain , Abdelhak Imoussaten

Change Point Detection (CPD) is a critical task in time series analysis, aiming to identify moments when the underlying data-generating process shifts. Traditional CPD methods often rely on unsupervised techniques, which lack adaptability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Stefano Bertolasi , Diego Carrera , Diego Stucchi , Pasqualina Fragneto , Luigi Amedeo Bianchi

Out-of-Domain (OOD) detection is a key component in a task-oriented dialog system, which aims to identify whether a query falls outside the predefined supported intent set. Previous softmax-based detection algorithms are proved to be…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Yanan Wu , Zhiyuan Zeng , Keqing He , Yutao Mou , Pei Wang , Weiran Xu

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-18 Alireza Ahrabian

Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

We propose a novel multivariate nonparametric multiple change point detection method using classifiers. We construct a classifier log-likelihood ratio that uses class probability predictions to compare different change point configurations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann , Solt Kovács

Change-point detection (CPD) is crucial for identifying abrupt shifts in data, which influence decision-making and efficient resource allocation across various domains. To address the challenges posed by the costly and time-intensive data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

Modern information systems generate large volumes of data with anomalies that occur at unknown points in time and have to be detected quickly and reliably with low false alarm rates. The paper develops a general theory of quickest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Alexander G Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

The minimum regularized covariance determinant method (MRCD) is a robust estimator for multivariate location and scatter, which detects outliers by fitting a robust covariance matrix to the data. Its regularization ensures that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Joachim Schreurs , Iwein Vranckx , Mia Hubert , Johan A. K. Suykens , Peter J. Rousseeuw

In recent years, the segmentation of short molecular trajectories with varying diffusive properties has drawn particular attention of researchers, since it allows studying the dynamics of a particle. In the past decade, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Junwoo Park , Nataliya Sokolovska , Clément Cabriel , Ignacio Izeddin , Judith Miné-Hattab

Changepoint detection is the problem of finding abrupt or gradual changes in time series data when the distribution of the time series changes significantly. There are many sophisticated statistical algorithms for solving changepoint…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-14 Ritwik Bhaduri , Subhrajyoty Roy , Sankar K. Pal

Unaligned Scene Change Detection aims to detect scene changes between image pairs captured at different times without assuming viewpoint alignment. To handle viewpoint variations, current methods rely solely on 2D visual cues to establish…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Ziling Liu , Ziwei Chen , Mingqi Gao , Jinyu Yang , Feng Zheng

Detecting topographic changes in the urban environment has always been an important task for urban planning and monitoring. In practice, remote sensing data are often available in different modalities and at different time epochs. Change…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Zhenchao Zhang , George Vosselman , Markus Gerke , Devis Tuia , Michael Ying Yang

Inspired by graph-based methodologies, we introduce a novel graph-spanning algorithm designed to identify changes in both offline and online data across low to high dimensions. This versatile approach is applicable to Euclidean and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

Bayesian Optimisation has gained much popularity lately, as a global optimisation technique for functions that are expensive to evaluate or unknown a priori. While classical BO focuses on where to gather an observation next, it does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-14 Philippe Morere , Roman Marchant , Fabio Ramos

We present a challenging dataset, ChangeSim, aimed at online scene change detection (SCD) and more. The data is collected in photo-realistic simulation environments with the presence of environmental non-targeted variations, such as air…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Jin-Man Park , Jae-Hyuk Jang , Sahng-Min Yoo , Sun-Kyung Lee , Ue-Hwan Kim , Jong-Hwan Kim
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