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We study the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on mortality and economic activity across U.S. cities during the 1918 Flu Pandemic. The combination of fast and stringent NPIs reduced peak mortality by 50% and cumulative…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-21 Sergio Correia , Stephan Luck , Emil Verner

This research investigates the coupled dynamics of behavior and infectious disease using a mathematical model. We integrate a two-state q-voter opinion process with SIS-type infection dynamics, where transmission rates are influenced by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-13 Thomas Goetz , Tyll Krueger , Karol Niedzielewski , Jan Schneider , Barbara Pabjan

Vaccination is an effective way to prevent and control the occurrence and epidemic of infectious diseases. However, many factors influence whether the residents decide to get vaccinated or not, such as the efficacy and side effects while…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-09 Yingyue Ke , Jin Zhou

In response to the worldwide outbreak of the coronavirus disease COVID-19, a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions such as face masks and social distancing have been implemented. A careful assessment of the effects of such containment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Policy responses to COVID-19, particularly those related to non-pharmaceutical interventions, are unprecedented in scale and scope. Epidemiologists are more involved in policy decisions and evidence generation than ever before. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Noah A Haber , Emma Clarke-Deelder , Joshua A Salomon , Avi Feller , Elizabeth A Stuart

Herd immunity is shaped not only by the infection capacity of a spreading epidemic or the contact structure of the hosting population, but also by how and under what circumstances individuals acquire immunity. Immunization strategies may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-20 Sámuel G. Balogh , Gergely Ódor , Márton Karsai

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted health systems and economies worldwide. Significant global efforts are therefore ongoing to improve vaccine efficacies, optimize vaccine deployment, and develop new antiviral therapies to combat…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-21 Rajat Desikan , Pranesh Padmanabhan , Andrzej M. Kierzek , Piet H. van der Graaf

Knowledge of the protection afforded by vaccines might, in some circumstances, modify a vaccinated individual's behaviour, potentially increasing exposure to pathogens and hindering effectiveness. Although vaccine studies typically do not…

In this study, we examine the perceived influence of others, across both strong and weak social ties, on COVID-19 vaccination decisions in the United States. We add context to social influence by measuring related concepts, such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Denise Yewell , R. Alexander Bentley , Benjamin D. Horne

Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) continue to present a complex and costly challenge to public health programs. The preferences and social dynamics of a population can have a large impact on the course of an outbreak as well as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Michael A. L. Hayashi , Marisa C. Eisenberg

After the recent COVID-19 outbreaks, it became increasingly evident that individuals' thoughts and beliefs can have a strong impact on disease transmission. It becomes therefore important to understand how information and opinions on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-27 Giacomo Albi , Elisa Calzola , Giacomo Dimarco , Mattia Zanella

Social distancing as one of the main non-pharmaceutical interventions can help slow down the spread of diseases, like in the COVID-19 pandemic. Effective social distancing, unless enforced as drastic lockdowns and mandatory cordon…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-30 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

Cities become mission-critical zones during pandemics and it is vital to develop a better understanding of the factors that are associated with infection levels. The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted many cities severely; however, there is…

Seasonal influenza presents an ongoing challenge to public health. The rapid evolution of the flu virus necessitates annual vaccination campaigns, but the decision to get vaccinated or not in a given year is largely voluntary, at least in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-21 Irena Papst , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Steven H. Strogatz

While understanding of periodic recurrent waves of Covid-19 epidemics would aid to combat the pandemics, quantitative analysis of data over a two years period from the outbreak, is lacking. The complexity of Covid-19 recurrent waves is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Gaetano Campi , Antonio Bianconi

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has exerted a profound impact on patients with end-stage renal disease relying on kidney dialysis to sustain their lives. Motivated by a request by the U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Wenbo Wu , John D. Kalbfleisch , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Jian Kang , Kevin He

We estimate patterns of covariation between COVID-19 vaccination rates and a set of widely used indicators of human, social, and economic capital across 146 countries in July 2021 and February 2022. About 70% of the variability in COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-02 Cosima Rughinis , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Michael G. Flaherty , Sorina Vasile

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

Mathematical modeling of epidemic spreading has been widely adopted to estimate the threats of epidemic diseases (i.e., the COVID-19 pandemic) as well as to evaluate epidemic control interventions. The indoor place is considered to be a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-14 Yao Xiao , Mofeng Yang , Zheng Zhu , Hai Yang , Lei Zhang , Sepehr Ghader