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We address the challenge of performing Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) after an initial Highly Adaptive Lasso (HAL) fit. Existing approaches that utilize the data-adaptive working model selected by HAL-such as the relaxed HAL…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Yi Li , Sky Qiu , Zeyi Wang , Mark van der Laan

We propose a moving horizon estimation (MHE) scheme for general nonlinear constrained systems with parametric or static nonlinear uncertainties and a predetermined state feedback controller that is assumed to robustly stabilize the system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 Yang Guo , Stefan Streif

The approximate master equation (AME) provides a highly accurate description of dynamical processes on networks, yet its steady states are generally analytically intractable. In this study, we develop an analytical framework to derive the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-05 Yu Takiguchi , Takehisa Hasegawa

Multiphase flows are an important class of fluid flow and their study facilitates the development of diverse applications in industrial, natural, and biomedical systems. We consider a model that uses a continuum description of both phases…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-04 Bindi M. Nagda , Aaron Barrett , Boyce E. Griffith , Aaron L. Fogelson , Jian Du

Regional watersheds are complex systems of systems encompassing hydrology, land-use decision-making, estuarine ecological feedbacks, and overlapping governance jurisdictions. Their effective management underlies many modern societal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Megan S. Harris , John C. Little , Amro M. Farid

We present an adaptive scheme for isogeometric phase-field modeling, to perform suitably graded hierarchical refinement and coarsening on both single- and multi-patch geometries by considering truncated hierarchical spline constructions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Cesare Bracco , Carlotta Giannelli , Alessandro Reali , Michele Torre , Rafael Vázquez

In this work, we develop an adaptive algorithm for the efficient numerical solution of the minimum compliance problem in topology optimization. The algorithm employs the phase field approximation and continuous density field. The adaptive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Bangti Jin , Jing Li , Yifeng Xu , Shengfeng Zhu

This paper presents a recursive solution to the receding or moving horizon estimation (MHE) problem for nonlinear time-variant systems. We provide the conditions under which the recursive MHE is equivalent to the extended Kalman filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Xu Weng , K. V. Ling , Ling Zhao

This paper combines vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space (vRKHS) embedding with robust adaptive observation, yielding an algorithm that is both non-parametric and robust. The main contribution of this paper lies in the ability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Shengyuan Niu , Haoran Wang , Heejip Moon , Andrea L'Afflitto , Andrew Kurdila , Daniel Stilwell

High-resolution rainfall estimates from satellite and reanalysis sources (SRE) could play a major role in improving climate services for agriculture. This is particularly relevant in regions that rely on rain-fed farming but lack a dense…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Danny Parsons , David Stern , Denis Ndanguza , Mouhamadou Bamba Sylla , James Musyoka , John Bagiliko , Graham Clarkson , Peter Dorward

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, are widely used for Bayesian inference. One of the most important issues for any MCMC method is the convergence of the Markov chain, which depends…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-20 Luca Martino , Jesse Read , David Luengo

The problem of developing an adaptive isogeometric method (AIGM) for solving elliptic second-order partial differential equations with truncated hierarchical B-splines of arbitrary degree and different order of continuity is addressed. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Annalisa Buffa , Carlotta Giannelli

Datasets in the fields of climate and environment are often very large and irregularly spaced. To model such datasets, the widely used Gaussian process models in spatial statis- tics face tremendous challenges due to the prohibitive…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-31 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

In this work, we introduce a sample- and data-based moving horizon estimation framework for linear systems. We perform state estimation in a sample-based fashion in the sense that we assume to have only few, irregular output measurements…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Tobias M. Wolff , Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) describes the interaction between electrically conducting fluids and electromagnetic fields. We propose and analyze a symplectic, second-order algorithm for the evolutionary MHD system in Els\"asser variables. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Zhen Yao , Catalin Trenchea , Wenlong Pei

Accurate weather forecasting holds significant importance, serving as a crucial tool for decision-making in various industrial sectors. The limitations of statistical models, assuming independence among data points, highlight the need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Anuvab Sen , Udayon Sen , Mayukhi Paul , Apurba Prasad Padhy , Sujith Sai , Aakash Mallik , Chhandak Mallick

Business environments characterized by intermittent demand, high variability, and multi-step planning require model selection procedures aligned with future operational horizons rather than static test-horizon evaluation. Because no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Adolfo González , Víctor Parada

Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) is a continuum level model for conducting fluids subject to external magnetic fields, e.g. plasmas and liquid metals. The efficient and robust solution of the MHD system poses many challenges due to it's…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-18 J. H. Chaudhry , A. E. Rappaport , J. N. Shadid

Estimating and reacting to external disturbances is of fundamental importance for robust control of quadrotors. Existing estimators typically require significant tuning or training with a large amount of data, including the ground truth, to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Bingheng Wang , Zhengtian Ma , Shupeng Lai , Lin Zhao , Tong Heng Lee

The paper addresses state estimation for discrete-time systems with binary (threshold) measurements by following a Maximum A posteriori Probability (MAP) approach and exploiting a Moving Horizon (MH) approximation of the MAP cost-function.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-09 Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Nicola Forti , Stefano Gherardini