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We describe a simple method that can be used to sample the rare fluctuations of discrete-time Markov chains. We focus on the case of Markov chains with well-defined steady-state measures, and derive expressions for the large-deviation rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Stephen Whitelam

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Stochastic methods offer an effective way to suppress coherent errors in quantum simulation. In particular, the randomized compilation protocol may reduce circuit depth by randomly sampling Hamiltonian terms rather than following the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Yu-Xia Wu , Yun-Zhuo Fan , Dan-Bo Zhang

The aim of this work is to give an overview of the recent developments in the area of statistical inference for parabolic stochastic partial differential equations. Significant part of the paper is devoted to the spectral approach, which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Igor Cialenco

We propose an online parametric estimation method of stochastic differential equations with discrete observations and misspecified modelling based on online gradient descent. Our study provides uniform upper bounds for the risks of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Shogo Nakakita

This paper proposes a framework to study the convergence of stochastic optimization and learning algorithms. The framework is modeled over the different challenges that these algorithms pose, such as (i) the presence of random additive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Nicola Bastianello , Liam Madden , Ruggero Carli , Emiliano Dall'Anese

We introduce the Pad\'e--Z$_2$ (PZ) stochastic estimator for calculating determinants and determinant ratios. The estimator is applied to the calculation of fermion determinants from the two ends of the Hybrid Monte Carlo trajectories with…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2016-08-25 C. Thron , S. J. Dong , K. F. Liu , H. P. Ying

Three classes of stochastic networks and their performance measures are considered. These performance measures are defined as the expected value of some random variables and cannot normally be obtained analytically as functions of network…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-10-24 Nikolai Krivulin

Stochastic differential equations are an important modeling class in many disciplines. Consequently, there exist many methods relying on various discretization and numerical integration schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Gabriele Abbati , Philippe Wenk , Michael A Osborne , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

Stochastic local search algorithms are frequently used to numerically solve hard combinatorial optimization or decision problems. We give numerical and approximate analytical descriptions of the dynamics of such algorithms applied to random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang Barthel , Alexander K. Hartmann , Martin Weigt

While local basis function (LBF) estimation algorithms, commonly used for identifying/tracking systems with time-varying parameters, demonstrate good performance under the assumption of normally distributed measurement noise, the estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Maciej Niedźwiecki , Artur Gańcza , Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Stochastic neurons can be useful for a number of reasons in deep learning models, but in many cases they pose a challenging problem: how to estimate the gradient of a loss function with respect to the input of such stochastic neurons, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Yoshua Bengio

In this paper, we introduce a powerful and efficient framework for direct optimization of ranking metrics. The problem is ill-posed due to the discrete structure of the loss, and to deal with that, we introduce two important techniques:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-21 Aleksei Ustimenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

Spatial econometric research typically relies on the assumption that the spatial dependence structure is known in advance and is represented by a deterministic spatial weights matrix. Contrary to classical approaches, we investigate the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-24 Miryam S. Merk , Philipp Otto

In this paper, we develop a novel large volatility matrix estimation procedure for analyzing global financial markets. Practitioners often use lower-frequency data, such as weekly or monthly returns, to address the issue of different…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Sung Hoon Choi , Donggyu Kim

A detailed discussion of semiclassical trace formulae is presented and it is demonstrated how a regularized trace formula can be derived while dealing only with finite and convergent expressions. Furthermore, several applications of trace…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Jens Bolte

A comprehensive uncertainty estimation is vital for the precision program of the LHC. While experimental uncertainties are often described by stochastic processes and well-defined nuisance parameters, theoretical uncertainties lack such a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-08 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman , Tilman Plehn , Lily Shire , Tim M. P. Tait , Daniel Whiteson

In this paper I propose the use of a lattice derivative operator that is equivalent to the ideal SLAC derivative operator in all lattice calculations, but without the prohibitively expensive computational cost of the latter. A pedagogical…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 John P. Costella